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Stadium Background

Perugia U19 vs Avellino U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Primavera 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Perugia U19 in this Primavera 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Perugia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Perugia U19
15%
Draws
36%
Avellino U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Perugia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Perugia U19 lately — more wins on the board than Avellino U19.
  • Model gives Perugia U19 a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primavera 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Perugia U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Avellino U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perugia U19 Avellino U19
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 19 13
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.84 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Avellino U19
1:0
Feb 22, 2026 Primavera 2
Avellino U19 vs Perugia U19
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Avellino U19
0:1
May 3, 2025 Primavera 2
Avellino U19 vs Perugia U19
3:1
Nov 23, 2024 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Avellino U19
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perugia U19 67 / 100
Avellino U19 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perugia U19 Avellino U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perugia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Avellino U19 conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Perugia U19 found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Perugia U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perugia U19 VS Avellino U19
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Perugia U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Salernitana U19
0 : 6
Perugia U19
12 Sept
Perugia U19
3 : 0
Monopoli U19
04 Sept
Pisa U19
2 : 3
Perugia U19
23 May
Perugia U19
1 : 2
Modena U19
16 May
Perugia U19
2 : 0
Reggiana U19
Page 1 of 7

Avellino U19

(Away)
20 Sept
Avellino U19
3 : 1
Latina U19
12 Sept
Cosenza U19
1 : 2
Avellino U19
05 Sept
Avellino U19
3 : 1
Napoli U19
16 May
Modena U19
1 : 0
Avellino U19
09 May
Salernitana U19
1 : 0
Avellino U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Renate U19 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Vicenza U19 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Entella U19 4 2 1 1 9:6 7
4 Cremonese U19 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
5 Padova U19 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Udinese U19 4 2 0 2 7:11 6
7 Mantova U19 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
8 Sampdoria U19 3 1 2 0 7:5 5
9 Modena U19 3 1 1 1 10:8 4
10 Venezia U19 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
11 Union Brescia U19 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
12 Lecco U19 4 1 1 2 2:8 4
13 Cittadella U19 3 1 0 2 8:10 3
14 Sudtirol U19 4 0 3 1 1:4 3
15 Reggiana U19 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
16 Pro Vercelli U19 3 0 1 2 0:6 1
Promotion - Primavera 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Perugia U19 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Benevento U19 4 3 0 1 12:3 9
3 Catanzaro U19 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
4 Avellino U19 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
5 Bari U19 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
6 Palermo U19 3 2 1 0 8:5 7
7 Spezia U19 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
8 Monopoli U19 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
9 Pescara U19 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
10 Latina U19 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
11 Napoli U19 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
12 Pisa U19 4 1 0 3 5:9 3
13 Ascoli U19 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
14 Frosinone U19 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
15 Cosenza U19 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
16 Salernitana U19 4 0 0 4 1:17 0
Promotion - Primavera 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Play Out)