Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Perugia U19 vs Crotone U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Agnissan E.
57' Event
Berta F.
61' Event
Dottori C.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2025/2026 game between Perugia U19 and Crotone U19 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Perugia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Perugia U19
15%
Draws
7%
Crotone U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Perugia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Perugia U19 come out ahead of Crotone U19 on wins alone.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Perugia U19 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Perugia U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Crotone U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perugia U19 Crotone U19
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 1
Draws 5 10
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.72 0.67
Goals Conceded 1 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Crotone U19
3:0
Nov 29, 2025 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Perugia U19
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Perugia U19
2:2
Oct 5, 2024 Primavera 2
Perugia U19 vs Crotone U19
0:3
May 11, 2024 Primavera 2
Crotone U19 vs Perugia U19
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perugia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Agnissan E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berta F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Crotone U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perugia U19 85 / 100
Crotone U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perugia U19 Crotone U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perugia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crotone U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Perugia U19's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Perugia U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Perugia U19 VS Crotone U19
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Perugia U19

(Home)
04 Sept
Pisa U19
2 : 3
Perugia U19
23 May
Perugia U19
1 : 2
Modena U19
16 May
Perugia U19
2 : 0
Reggiana U19
09 May
Palermo U19
0 : 1
Perugia U19
02 May
Perugia U19
3 : 2
Ascoli U19
Page 1 of 6

Crotone U19

(Away)
09 May
Crotone U19
2 : 2
Catanzaro U19
02 May
Cosenza U19
2 : 0
Crotone U19
25 Apr
Crotone U19
0 : 4
Bari U19
18 Apr
Palermo U19
7 : 1
Crotone U19
11 Apr
Crotone U19
2 : 3
Pescara U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)