Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Riccardi D.
28'
28'
Riccardi D.
30'
30'
Figoli M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Perugia and Carpi finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Carpi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Perugia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Perugia are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Perugia Clean Sheet 20%
Carpi Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Perugia | Carpi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 12 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 0.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Carpi
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Perugia
2:0
Jan 10, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Carpi
1:0
Sep 8, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Perugia
2:0
Mar 14, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Carpi
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Perugia Compare
Top Goalscorer Riccardi D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Carpi Compare
Top Goalscorer Casarini F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Perugia 36 / 100
Carpi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Perugia Carpi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Carpi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.
Attacking prowess: Perugia scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Perugia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Perugia VS Carpi
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Perugia
(Home) 02 Aug
Perugia
1 : 1 Grosseto
26 Apr
Forli FC
1 : 1 Perugia
18 Apr
Perugia
0 : 1 Campobasso
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2 Perugia
04 Apr
Perugia
2 : 2 Juventus U23
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Perugia
1 : 1 Grosseto
18 Apr
Perugia
0 : 1 Campobasso
04 Apr
Perugia
2 : 2 Juventus U23
20 Mar
Perugia
1 : 1 Sassari Torres
09 Mar
Perugia
2 : 1 US Pontedera
Page 1 of 3
Carpi
(Away) 09 Aug
Mantova
0 : 1 Carpi
01 Aug
Carpi
1 : 2 Pistoiese
25 Jul
Cesena
1 : 0 Carpi
26 Apr
Guidonia 1937
2 : 3 Carpi
18 Apr
Carpi
0 : 1 Forli FC
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Mantova
0 : 1 Carpi
25 Jul
Cesena
1 : 0 Carpi
26 Apr
Guidonia 1937
2 : 3 Carpi
12 Apr
Vis Pesaro
3 : 0 Carpi
14 Mar
Livorno
2 : 2 Carpi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
