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Perugia vs Juventus U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia
Perugia Logo

Perugia

2 - 2
FT
Juventus U23 Logo

Juventus U23

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Anghele L.
14'
Savio F.
34' Event
Montevago D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Perugia
20%
Draws
20%
Juventus U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Perugia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Juventus U23 at 1.29 per game, Perugia at 1.11.
  • Model gives Perugia a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Perugia Clean Sheet 68%
Juventus U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perugia Juventus U23
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.11 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Juventus U23
2:2
Nov 30, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Juventus U23 vs Perugia
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Juventus U23
2:0
Oct 22, 2023 Serie C - Group B
Juventus U23 vs Perugia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perugia Compare

Top Goalscorer Montevago D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Juventus U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Anghele L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerra S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perugia 50 / 100
Juventus U23 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perugia Juventus U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Perugia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perugia scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Juventus U23 conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Away concern: Juventus U23 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Perugia VS Juventus U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Perugia

(Home)
03 Oct
Gubbio
1 : 3
Perugia
27 Sept
Perugia
1 : 0
Reggiana
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3
Spezia
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0
Perugia
Page 1 of 6

Juventus U23

(Away)
26 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0
Juventus U23
20 Sept
Juventus U23
3 : 5
AlbinoLeffe
17 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 0
Juventus U23
13 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 0
Juventus U23
06 Sept
Juventus U23
0 : 0
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)