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Perugia vs Pescara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Perugia host Pescara in the Serie C - Group B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Pescara have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Perugia have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.18. Head-to-head, Perugia have won 1 to Pescara's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Jan 26, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.31) back Perugia to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Perugia
15%
Draws
45%
Pescara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pescara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Perugia haven't matched Pescara's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Perugia's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Perugia Clean Sheet 18%
Pescara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perugia Pescara
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.18 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Pescara
0:0
Sep 23, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Pescara vs Perugia
0:0
Jan 15, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Pescara vs Perugia
0:1
Sep 10, 2023 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Pescara
1:1
Aug 14, 2020 Serie B
Perugia vs Pescara
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perugia 41 / 100
Pescara 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perugia Pescara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Perugia scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Pescara has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Perugia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Perugia VS Pescara
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Perugia

(Home)
18 Oct
Campobasso
1 : 5
Perugia
11 Oct
Perugia
0 : 2
Vado
03 Oct
Gubbio
1 : 3
Perugia
27 Sept
Perugia
1 : 0
Reggiana
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
Page 1 of 6

Pescara

(Away)
18 Oct
Pescara
2 : 0
Ostiamare
12 Oct
Pescara
1 : 1
Guidonia 1937
03 Oct
Livorno
0 : 1
Pescara
27 Sept
Pescara
1 : 2
Spezia
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Pescara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 10 9 1 0 18:4 28
2 Ravenna 10 6 2 2 16:6 20
3 Grosseto 10 5 4 1 21:13 19
4 Reggiana 9 5 2 2 14:7 17
5 Guidonia 1937 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
6 Livorno 10 4 4 2 15:14 16
7 Perugia 10 5 1 4 14:15 16
8 Pescara 10 4 3 3 13:12 15
9 Sassari Torres 10 4 3 3 11:12 15
10 Latina 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
11 Vado 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
12 Atalanta U23 9 4 0 5 10:13 12
13 Campobasso 10 3 3 4 14:19 12
14 Forli FC 10 2 5 3 16:16 11
15 Ostiamare 10 2 3 5 9:12 9
16 Pianese 10 1 5 4 6:10 8
17 Pineto 9 1 5 3 6:11 8
18 Sambenedettese 10 1 4 5 14:17 7
19 Gubbio 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
20 Vis Pesaro 9 1 1 7 10:20 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)