Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Perugia vs Ravenna

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Montevago D.
32' Event
Tenkorang J.
53'
Sub
Bolsius D. In: Bacchin L.
Out: Bolsius D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Perugia
20%
Draws
61%
Ravenna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ravenna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Ravenna have won more games recently than Perugia.
  • Model gives Ravenna a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Perugia Clean Sheet 16%
Ravenna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Perugia Ravenna
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.11 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Ravenna vs Perugia
3:0
Jan 30, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Ravenna
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ravenna vs Perugia
3:2
Apr 17, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Ravenna vs Perugia
0:3
Dec 23, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Ravenna
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Perugia Compare

Top Goalscorer Montevago D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ravenna Compare

Top Goalscorer Tenkorang J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Perugia 10 / 100
Ravenna 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Perugia Ravenna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ravenna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Perugia's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ravenna conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Perugia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Perugia VS Ravenna
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Perugia

(Home)
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3
Spezia
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0
Perugia
06 Sept
Perugia
2 : 1
Pineto
30 Aug
Vis Pesaro
2 : 2
Perugia
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Ravenna

(Away)
20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2
Ravenna
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0
Perugia
06 Sept
Pescara
0 : 0
Ravenna
01 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 1
Forli FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)