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Pescara vs Spezia

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia, Pescara
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Cazzadori D.
46' Event
Bright K.
49'
Sub
Cazzadori D. In: Durmush M.
Out: Cazzadori D.

AI Match Summary

Spezia in this Serie C - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spezia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Pescara
20%
Draws
60%
Spezia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Pescara haven't matched Spezia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Spezia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pescara Clean Sheet 11%
Spezia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pescara Spezia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Serie B
Pescara vs Spezia
1:1
Dec 27, 2025 Serie B
Spezia vs Pescara
2:1
Mar 4, 2020 Serie B
Spezia vs Pescara
2:0
Oct 19, 2019 Serie B
Pescara vs Spezia
1:2
Mar 3, 2019 Serie B
Pescara vs Spezia
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pescara Compare

Top Goalscorer Parigi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Spezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bright K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pescara 14 / 100
Spezia 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pescara Spezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spezia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pescara scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Spezia let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Pescara went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pescara VS Spezia
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pescara

(Home)
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Pescara
16 Sept
Pescara
1 : 1
Gubbio
12 Sept
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Pescara
06 Sept
Pescara
0 : 0
Ravenna
29 Aug
Forli FC
6 : 3
Pescara
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Spezia

(Away)
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1
Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3
Spezia
12 Sept
Spezia
2 : 0
Livorno
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Spezia
02 Sept
Spezia
3 : 0
Vado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
2 Grosseto 7 4 3 0 13:4 15
3 Ravenna 6 4 2 0 10:2 14
4 Reggiana 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
5 Livorno 7 4 2 1 10:8 14
6 Campobasso 7 3 2 2 11:10 11
7 Sassari Torres 7 3 2 2 8:8 11
8 Guidonia 1937 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
9 Forli FC 6 2 3 1 12:10 9
10 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
11 Pescara 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
12 Gubbio 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Pineto 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
14 Perugia 6 2 1 3 5:11 7
15 Ostiamare 6 2 0 4 7:8 6
16 Latina 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
17 Vado 7 1 2 4 5:8 5
18 Pianese 7 0 3 4 4:9 3
19 Sambenedettese 7 0 2 5 8:13 2
20 Vis Pesaro 6 0 1 5 6:15 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)