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Pesqueira vs Serrano PE

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pesqueira play Serrano PE in the Pernambucano 2 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pesqueira averaged 0.76 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Serrano PE averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. In past meetings, Pesqueira won 1, Serrano PE won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 27, 2022 ended 7:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.80 for Pesqueira and 0.66 for Serrano PE. This points to a Pesqueira double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Pesqueira
35%
Draws
21%
Serrano PE
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pesqueira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Pesqueira picked up more points recently compared to Serrano PE.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.80 vs 0.66 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Pesqueira Clean Sheet 28%
Serrano PE Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pesqueira Serrano PE
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 17 6
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 0.76 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.94 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 4.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Pesqueira vs Serrano PE
7:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pesqueira 45 / 100
Serrano PE 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pesqueira Serrano PE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Pesqueira or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +22.1%
3.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pesqueira attacking → ← attacking Serrano PE

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pesqueira scored in 48% of their last 33 games.

Serrano PE let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Pesqueira went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Serrano PE lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 21
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.20
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.60

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Flamengo Arcoverde540111:312
2Decisao52305:39
3Petrolina522112:38
41º de Maio51313:36
5Pesqueira51228:55
6Serrano PE50051:230
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Central SC54017:112
2Maguary53117:310
3Ypiranga52214:38
4Belo Jardim51223:35
5CA Porto51223:45
6Cha Grande50140:101
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico Torres541011:213
2America PE52219:98
3Vera Cruz52125:37
4Academica Vitoria52035:56
5Sete de Setembro (PE)52035:96
6Santa Fe PE50232:92
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico PE651015:416
2Ipojuca650114:315
3Ferroviario do Cabo62318:59
4Centro Limoeirense622211:58
5Jaguar62047:176
6Cabense61239:125
7Timbauba FC60060:180