Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Alvarado C.
20'
20'
Alas J.
Own Goal
24'
24'
Alvarado C.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Nacional 2018/2019 game between Petapa and Municipal finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Municipal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Municipal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Municipal come out ahead of Petapa on wins alone.
- Model gives Municipal a 80% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Nacional 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Municipal have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Petapa Clean Sheet 12%
Municipal Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Petapa | Municipal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 22 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 22 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.3 | 0.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 30, 2019 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Petapa
6:1
Jan 31, 2019 Liga Nacional
Petapa vs Municipal
2:3
Oct 21, 2018 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Petapa
1:0
Aug 18, 2018 Liga Nacional
Petapa vs Municipal
0:1
Mar 11, 2018 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Petapa
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Petapa Compare
Top Goalscorer Morales J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42
Municipal Compare
Top Goalscorer Alvarado C.
2 Goals Assists Leader Alas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Petapa 10 / 100
Municipal 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Petapa Municipal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Municipal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Petapa scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Municipal conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Municipal
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Petapa
(Home) 05 May
Petapa
0 : 3 Siquinala
02 May
Comunicaciones
5 : 0 Petapa
27 Apr
Petapa
1 : 2 Malacateco
24 Apr
Sanarate
4 : 1 Petapa
19 Apr
Petapa
1 : 2 Deportivo Chiantla
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Petapa
0 : 3 Siquinala
27 Apr
Petapa
1 : 2 Malacateco
19 Apr
Petapa
1 : 2 Deportivo Chiantla
06 Apr
Petapa
1 : 2 Iztapa
16 Mar
Petapa
0 : 3 Antigua
Page 1 of 3
Municipal
(Away) 25 Sept
Municipal
3 : 0 Suchitepequez
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2 Malacateco
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2 Municipal
06 Sept
Municipal
0 : 0 Deportivo San Pedro
30 Aug
Comunicaciones
0 : 1 Municipal
Page 1 of 7
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2 Municipal
30 Aug
Comunicaciones
0 : 1 Municipal
20 Aug
FAS
1 : 1 Municipal
15 Aug
Guastatoya
1 : 0 Municipal
07 Aug
Verdes
0 : 1 Municipal
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 36:20 | 41 |
| 2 | Coban Imperial | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 35:25 | 40 |
| 3 | Comunicaciones | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 32:14 | 39 |
| 4 | Municipal | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 37:22 | 36 |
| 5 | Malacateco | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 24:20 | 36 |
| 6 | Guastatoya | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 27:16 | 35 |
| 7 | Deportivo Chiantla | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | 30 |
| 8 | Xelaju | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 27:25 | 29 |
| 9 | Siquinala | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:25 | 26 |
| 10 | Iztapa | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 21:28 | 25 |
| 11 | Sanarate | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 22:38 | 23 |
| 12 | Petapa | 22 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 12:59 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
