Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Petapa vs Sanarate

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Noriega C.

AI Match Summary

Petapa in this Liga Nacional 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Petapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Petapa
15%
Draws
85%
Sanarate
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sanarate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sanarate lately — more wins on the board than Petapa.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Sanarate taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Petapa Clean Sheet 20%
Sanarate Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petapa Sanarate
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 4 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.67 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2019 Liga Nacional
Sanarate vs Petapa
4:1
Feb 17, 2019 Liga Nacional
Petapa vs Sanarate
1:0
Sep 29, 2018 Liga Nacional
Petapa vs Sanarate
0:2
Jul 29, 2018 Liga Nacional
Sanarate vs Petapa
2:2
Mar 29, 2018 Liga Nacional
Petapa vs Sanarate
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Petapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Noriega C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Sanarate Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petapa 10 / 100
Sanarate 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petapa Sanarate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanarate Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanarate let in goals in 80% of their last 35 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Petapa scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Sanarate has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sanarate
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Petapa

(Home)
05 May
Petapa
0 : 3
Siquinala
02 May
Comunicaciones
5 : 0
Petapa
27 Apr
Petapa
1 : 2
Malacateco
24 Apr
Sanarate
4 : 1
Petapa
19 Apr
Petapa
1 : 2
Deportivo Chiantla
Page 1 of 6

Sanarate

(Away)
08 May
Guastatoya
4 : 1
Sanarate
05 May
Sanarate
2 : 0
Guastatoya
02 May
Malacateco
0 : 1
Sanarate
28 Apr
Sanarate
1 : 1
Xelaju
24 Apr
Santa Lucia
1 : 0
Sanarate
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 22 12 5 5 36:20 41
2 Coban Imperial 22 12 4 6 35:25 40
3 Comunicaciones 22 11 6 5 32:14 39
4 Municipal 22 10 6 6 37:22 36
5 Malacateco 22 10 6 6 24:20 36
6 Guastatoya 22 9 8 5 27:16 35
7 Deportivo Chiantla 22 8 6 8 21:25 30
8 Xelaju 22 8 5 9 27:25 29
9 Siquinala 22 7 5 10 23:25 26
10 Iztapa 22 7 4 11 21:28 25
11 Sanarate 22 7 2 13 22:38 23
12 Petapa 22 2 1 19 12:59 7
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)