Sport Picks

England

Professional Development League Weston Homes Stadium

Nottingham U21

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Peterborough U21 play Nottingham U21 in the Professional Development League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Peterborough U21 averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Nottingham U21 averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Peterborough U21 won 0, Nottingham U21 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 4, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Peterborough U21 and 1.88 for Nottingham U21. This points to a Nottingham U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Peterborough U21

15%

Draws

46%

Nottingham U21

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Peterborough U21 picked up more points recently compared to Nottingham U21.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%

Peterborough U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Nottingham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Peterborough U21	Nottingham U21
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	17
Draws	6	3
Losses	9	10
Goals Scored	2.3	1.3
Goals Conceded	1.8	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Professional Development League

Peterborough U21 vs Nottingham U21

Possession: 49% - 57% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peterborough U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Nottingham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterborough U21 37 / 100

Nottingham U21 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Peterborough U21 Nottingham U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nottingham U21 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Peterborough U21 attacking → ← attacking Nottingham U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peterborough U21 scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Nottingham U21 let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Peterborough U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nottingham U21 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 54

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50