Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Peterborough U23 vs Burnley U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022 Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Oluwabori A.
32' Event
Costelloe D.
38' Event
McGlynn J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-2, with Peterborough U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Peterborough U23
30%
Draws
58%
Burnley U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burnley U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Peterborough U23 haven't matched Burnley U23's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Burnley U23 taking it.
  • Burnley U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Peterborough U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Peterborough U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Burnley U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peterborough U23 Burnley U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.7 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2022 Premier League Cup
Peterborough U23 vs Burnley U23
5:2
Oct 19, 2021 Premier League Cup
Burnley U23 vs Peterborough U23
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peterborough U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Oluwabori A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Burnley U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Costelloe D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGlynn J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterborough U23 10 / 100
Burnley U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peterborough U23 Burnley U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnley U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley U23 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Peterborough U23 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Peterborough U23 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Peterborough U23 VS Burnley U23
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Peterborough U23

(Home)
03 May
Colchester U23
2 : 2
Peterborough U23
29 Apr
Peterborough U23
0 : 2
Ipswich U23
20 Apr
Peterborough U23
0 : 0
Crewe U23
10 Apr
Peterborough U23
0 : 1
Wolves U23
01 Apr
Millwall U23
1 : 0
Peterborough U23
Page 1 of 6

Burnley U23

(Away)
29 Apr
Fulham U23
5 : 3
Burnley U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Aston Villa U23
22 Apr
Stoke City U23
0 : 0
Burnley U23
15 Apr
Burnley U23
3 : 2
West Brom U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1
Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)