Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Peterborough vs Barnsley

England England

EFL Cup Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough
Tue, Sep 15, 2026
4 - 3
06:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
McGeehan C.
19' Event
Leonard H.
26'
O'Riordan C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-3. This leg finished 4-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Peterborough
20%
Draws
44%
Barnsley
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barnsley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Barnsley have won more games recently than Peterborough.
  • Peterborough are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Barnsley arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Barnsley, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Peterborough Clean Sheet 16%
Barnsley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peterborough Barnsley
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.26 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 EFL Cup
Peterborough vs Barnsley
4:3
Feb 17, 2026 League One
Barnsley vs Peterborough
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 FA Cup
Peterborough vs Barnsley
0:1
Aug 19, 2025 League One
Peterborough vs Barnsley
0:1
Apr 21, 2025 League One
Barnsley vs Peterborough
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peterborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Ormerod D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leonard H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Barnsley Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleary R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McGeehan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterborough 84 / 100
Barnsley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peterborough Barnsley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peterborough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peterborough's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Barnsley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Peterborough has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Peterborough VS Barnsley
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Peterborough

(Home)
15 Sept
Peterborough
4 : 3
Barnsley
12 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 1
Peterborough
05 Sept
Peterborough
1 : 2
Sheffield Wed
01 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 0
Stevenage
29 Aug
Blackpool
4 : 0
Peterborough
Page 1 of 6

Barnsley

(Away)
15 Sept
Peterborough
4 : 3
Barnsley
12 Sept
Plymouth
3 : 0
Barnsley
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5
Stevenage
02 Sept
Barnsley
2 : 1
Blackpool
29 Aug
Leyton Orient
1 : 3
Barnsley
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -