Sport Picks
Peterborough vs Barnsley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
EFL Cup Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough 
Match Events
2'
2'
McGeehan C.
19'
19'
Leonard H.
26'
26'
O'Riordan C.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-3. This leg finished 4-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
20%
70%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barnsley
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Barnsley average 1.71 goals a game right now, well clear of Peterborough's 1.21.
- Barnsley are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Barnsley, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Peterborough Clean Sheet 10%
Barnsley Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Peterborough | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 15, 2026 EFL Cup
Peterborough vs Barnsley
4:3
Feb 17, 2026 League One
Barnsley vs Peterborough
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 FA Cup
Peterborough vs Barnsley
0:1
Aug 19, 2025 League One
Peterborough vs Barnsley
0:1
Apr 21, 2025 League One
Barnsley vs Peterborough
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Peterborough Compare
Top Goalscorer Ormerod D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Leonard H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Barnsley Compare
Top Goalscorer Cleary R.
2 Goals Assists Leader McGeehan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Peterborough 10 / 100
Barnsley 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Peterborough Barnsley
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Barnsley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Barnsley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Peterborough scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Peterborough has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Peterborough VS Barnsley
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Peterborough
(Home) 07 Nov
Peterborough
0 : 5 Reading
31 Oct
Peterborough
0 : 2 Luton
27 Oct
Bradford City
2 : 0 Peterborough
24 Oct
Bromley
1 : 1 Peterborough
20 Oct
Huddersfield
4 : 1 Peterborough
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Peterborough
0 : 5 Reading
31 Oct
Peterborough
0 : 2 Luton
17 Oct
Peterborough
2 : 2 Burton
06 Oct
Peterborough
4 : 1 Ipswich U21
22 Sept
Peterborough
3 : 1 Colchester
Page 1 of 3
Barnsley
(Away) 11 Nov
Barnsley
5 : 2 Oldham
07 Nov
Barnsley
7 : 2 Aldershot
31 Oct
Barnsley
1 : 1 Oxford Utd
24 Oct
Reading
2 : 1 Barnsley
20 Oct
Luton
2 : 1 Barnsley
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Reading
2 : 1 Barnsley
20 Oct
Luton
2 : 1 Barnsley
10 Oct
Stockport County
3 : 1 Barnsley
06 Oct
Fleetwood Town
4 : 1 Barnsley
15 Sept
Peterborough
4 : 3 Barnsley
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town 2
Arsenal 1
Everton 3
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 3
Brighton 2
Bradford City 2
Peterborough 0
Fulham 0
Crystal Palace 1
Sunderland 3
Brentford 2
Liverpool 2
Chelsea 1
Bournemouth 3
Aston Villa 0
Quarter-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Everton -
Manchester City -
Bradford City -
Crystal Palace -
Sunderland -
Liverpool -
Bournemouth -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
