Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough

Peterborough

3 - 1

Colchester

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Edwards O.

Assist: Leonard H.

31'

Ashfield H.

Assist: Edwards O.

42'

Ashfield H.

Assist: Mills H.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Peterborough

30%

Draws

16%

Colchester

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Peterborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence

Peterborough average 1.37 goals a game right now, well clear of Colchester's 1.27.
Model gives Peterborough a 54% chance of winning this.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Peterborough, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Peterborough Clean Sheet 18%

Colchester Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Peterborough	Colchester
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	10
Draws	8	7
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.37	1.27
Goals Conceded	1.53	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 EFL Trophy

Peterborough vs Colchester

3:1

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly

Colchester vs Peterborough

2:3

Jul 25, 2025 Club Friendly

Colchester vs Peterborough

2:2

Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly

Peterborough vs Colchester

2:1

Nov 21, 2023 EFL Trophy

Colchester vs Peterborough

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peterborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Ashfield H.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Edwards O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Colchester Compare

Top Goalscorer Harvey R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.19

Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterborough 49 / 100

Colchester 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Peterborough Colchester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peterborough Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Peterborough's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Colchester has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Peterborough remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Peterborough VS Colchester

1.63 Goals Scored 0.88

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Peterborough

(Home)

22 Sept

Peterborough

3 : 1

Colchester

19 Sept

Peterborough

0 : 2

Doncaster

15 Sept

Peterborough

4 : 3

Barnsley

12 Sept

Milton Keynes Dons

1 : 1

Peterborough

05 Sept

Peterborough

1 : 2

Sheffield Wed

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Colchester

(Away)

22 Sept

Peterborough

3 : 1

Colchester

19 Sept

Colchester

1 : 1

Cheltenham

12 Sept

Colchester

1 : 1

Crewe

05 Sept

Swindon

3 : 1

Colchester

01 Sept

Bristol Rovers

2 : 0

Colchester

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