Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Peterborough vs Doncaster

England England

League One 2025/2026 Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Sub
Shofowoke B. In: Kamara D.
Out: Shofowoke B.
38'
Mills H.
54' Event
Sharp B.
Assist: Broadbent G.

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025/2026 game between Peterborough and Doncaster finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Doncaster.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Peterborough
28%
Draws
50%
Doncaster
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Doncaster

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Doncaster carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Doncaster's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Peterborough Clean Sheet 10%
Doncaster Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peterborough Doncaster
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.88 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 League One
Peterborough vs Doncaster
1:3
Nov 29, 2025 League One
Doncaster vs Peterborough
2:1
Dec 2, 2023 FA Cup
Peterborough vs Doncaster
2:1
May 9, 2021 League One
Doncaster vs Peterborough
1:4
Apr 27, 2021 League One
Peterborough vs Doncaster
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peterborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Leonard H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Doncaster Compare

Top Goalscorer Sharp B.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterborough 22 / 100
Doncaster 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peterborough Doncaster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Peterborough found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Doncaster has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Peterborough has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Peterborough VS Doncaster
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Peterborough

(Home)
25 Jul
Boston United
1 : 0
Peterborough
22 Jul
Peterborough Sports
0 : 1
Peterborough
21 Jul
Colchester
2 : 3
Peterborough
17 Jul
Peterborough
0 : 0
Neom SC
02 May
Peterborough
1 : 3
Doncaster
Page 1 of 6

Doncaster

(Away)
25 Jul
Gainsborough
0 : 0
Doncaster
25 Jul
Harrogate
2 : 2
Doncaster
18 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Doncaster
16 Jul
Glenavon
0 : 5
Doncaster
14 Jul
Doncaster
4 : 2
St. Patricks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City463110589:41103
2Cardiff462710990:5091
3Stockport County4622111371:5877
4Bradford City4622111358:5177
5Bolton461918970:5275
6Stevenage4621121349:4675
7Luton4621111468:5674
8Plymouth462271775:6373
9Huddersfield4618131574:6467
10Mansfield4616171362:5065
11Wycombe4617121769:5863
12Reading4616151564:6063
13Blackpool461792054:6560
14Doncaster461792050:6960
15Barnsley4615141768:7359
16Wigan4614141849:5856
17Burton4613151850:6054
18Peterborough461582364:6853
19AFC Wimbledon461582351:7253
20Leyton Orient4614102259:7152
21Exeter4612132152:6149
22Port Vale4610122436:6142
23Rotherham4610112541:7141
24Northampton46982939:7435
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)