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Peterborough vs Ipswich U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

EFL Trophy Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Leonard H.
(Penalty)
28' Event
Ashfield H.
Assist: Johnston C.
31' Event
Leonard H.
Assist: Mills H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Peterborough
15%
Draws
21%
Ipswich U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Peterborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ipswich U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Peterborough taking it.
  • Ipswich U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Peterborough, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Peterborough Clean Sheet 68%
Ipswich U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peterborough Ipswich U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 1
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.34 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 EFL Trophy
Peterborough vs Ipswich U21
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peterborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Ashfield H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leonard H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Ipswich U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fletcher L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterborough 95 / 100
Ipswich U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peterborough Ipswich U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peterborough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Peterborough scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Ipswich U21 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Peterborough stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Peterborough VS Ipswich U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Peterborough

(Home)
06 Oct
Peterborough
4 : 1
Ipswich U21
26 Sept
Stockport County
1 : 0
Peterborough
22 Sept
Peterborough
3 : 1
Colchester
19 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 2
Doncaster
15 Sept
Peterborough
4 : 3
Barnsley
Page 1 of 6

Ipswich U21

(Away)
06 Oct
Peterborough
4 : 1
Ipswich U21
22 Sept
Luton
6 : 0
Ipswich U21
15 Sept
Bromley U21
2 : 4
Ipswich U21
11 Sept
Sunderland U21
4 : 2
Ipswich U21
08 Sept
Hornchurch
3 : 0
Ipswich U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Accrington 2 2 0 0 4:4 4
3 Salford 2 0 0 2 2:3 1
4 Sunderland U21 2 0 0 2 3:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
2 Crewe 2 1 0 1 6:3 4
3 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 4:5 2
4 Aston Villa U21 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Newcastle Utd U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Rotherham 2 1 0 1 1:5 2
4 York City 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chesterfield 2 2 0 0 6:4 5
2 Port Vale 2 1 0 1 3:1 4
3 Manchester City U21 2 1 0 1 7:6 3
4 Mansfield 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 2 2 0 0 8:3 6
2 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
4 Shrewsbury 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Notts County 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Burton 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
4 Grimsby 2 0 0 2 1:2 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fleetwood Town 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
2 Leeds U21 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
3 Oldham 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Barnsley 2 0 0 2 4:8 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Doncaster 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Liverpool U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Rochdale 2 0 0 2 3:8 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Cheltenham 1 1 0 0 2:2 2
3 Oxford Utd 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
4 Tottenham U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 2 2 0 0 8:2 6
2 Leicester 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
3 Walsall 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
4 Fulham U21 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 Chelsea U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Bristol Rovers 2 0 0 2 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Luton 2 2 0 0 7:1 5
3 Colchester 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
4 Ipswich U21 2 0 0 2 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 2 2 0 0 7:3 5
2 Newport 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Crystal Palace U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
4 Swindon 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 2 2 0 0 5:1 5
2 Arsenal U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
3 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 0 2 1:1 2
4 Leyton Orient 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambridge Utd 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
4 Northampton 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0 11:2 6
2 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
3 Brentford U21 2 1 0 1 2:7 3
4 Bromley 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)