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Peterhead vs Hamilton

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Balmoor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Peterhead play Hamilton in the League Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Peterhead averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Hamilton averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Peterhead won 0, Hamilton won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 11, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Peterhead and 1.69 for Hamilton. This points to a Hamilton double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Peterhead
22%
Draws
18%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Peterhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Hamilton has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Peterhead.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Peterhead.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in League Cup provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Peterhead Clean Sheet 13%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peterhead Hamilton
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 League Cup
Peterhead vs Hamilton
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs Peterhead
3:1
Jan 17, 2026 League One
Peterhead vs Hamilton
2:3
Nov 8, 2025 League One
Hamilton vs Peterhead
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 League One
Peterhead vs Hamilton
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peterhead Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Hamilton Compare

Top Goalscorer Newbury C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterhead 57 / 100
Hamilton 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peterhead Hamilton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peterhead scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Hamilton let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Peterhead went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hamilton lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Peterhead VS Hamilton
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

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2Hamilton11001:03
3Kilmarnock00000:00
4Peterhead10010:10
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