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Peterhead vs Queen of the South

Scotland Scotland

League One 2025/2026 Balmoor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Peterhead play Queen of the South in the League One 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Peterhead averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Queen of the South averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Peterhead won 2, Queen of the South won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Peterhead and 1.56 for Queen of the South. This points to a Queen of the South double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Peterhead
6%
Draws
4%
Queen of the South
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Peterhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Queen of the South has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Peterhead.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Peterhead.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in League One 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Peterhead Clean Sheet 15%
Queen of the South Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Peterhead Queen of the South
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 League One
Peterhead vs Queen of the South
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 League One
Queen of the South vs Peterhead
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 League One
Peterhead vs Queen of the South
3:0
Aug 16, 2025 League One
Queen of the South vs Peterhead
4:0
Apr 1, 2023 League One
Queen of the South vs Peterhead
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Peterhead Compare

Top Goalscorer McGinn N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Queen of the South Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Peterhead 84 / 100
Queen of the South 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Peterhead Queen of the South

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Peterhead scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Queen of the South let in goals in 91% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Peterhead went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Queen of the South lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Peterhead VS Queen of the South
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inverness362111460:2469
2Stenhousemuir361813550:2767
3Queen of the South3614121058:4754
4Alloa361581350:3853
5Peterhead361271748:6443
6Montrose361191648:6742
7Cove Rangers369111641:4438
8East Fife36991834:6136
9Hamilton361671354:4234
10Kelty Hearts366111933:6229