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Petone vs Manurewa

New Zealand New Zealand

National League 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Pickering O.
63' Event
Muzakkir-Nabeel M.
83' Event
Muzakkir-Nabeel M.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2023 game between Petone and Manurewa finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manurewa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Petone
15%
Draws
85%
Manurewa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manurewa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Manurewa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Manurewa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Petone Clean Sheet 10%
Manurewa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petone Manurewa
Matches Played 11 13
Wins 0 5
Draws 1 1
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.55 1.46
Goals Conceded 2.82 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2023 National League
Petone vs Manurewa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Petone Compare

Top Goalscorer Pickering O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Manurewa Compare

Top Goalscorer Muzakkir-Nabeel M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petone 26 / 100
Manurewa 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petone Manurewa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manurewa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manurewa has conceded goals in 85% of their last 13 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Petone's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Away concern: Manurewa has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Petone VS Manurewa
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Petone

(Home)
04 Jul
Petone
0 : 4
Napier City
18 Nov
Petone
1 : 2
Manurewa
12 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
3 : 2
Petone
04 Nov
Petone
0 : 2
Auckland City
27 Oct
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Petone
Page 1 of 3

Manurewa

(Away)
27 Jul
Wellington Olympic
4 : 0
Manurewa
06 Jul
Manurewa
3 : 2
Onehunga Mangere
01 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 0
Manurewa
18 Nov
Petone
1 : 2
Manurewa
12 Nov
Manurewa
0 : 0
Auckland United
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wellington Olympic 9 7 2 0 34:15 23
2 Auckland City 9 7 0 2 19:12 21
3 Christchurch 9 5 1 3 18:16 16
4 Eastern Suburbs 9 4 3 2 23:11 15
5 Manurewa 9 4 1 4 16:20 13
6 Cashmere Technical 9 4 1 4 24:24 13
7 Auckland United 9 2 4 3 15:17 10
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 9 3 0 6 19:24 9
9 Napier City 9 2 1 6 13:26 7
10 Petone 9 0 1 8 6:22 1
Promotion - National League 2023 (Grand Final)