Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Stanley B.
49'
49'
Hurd A.
55'
55'
Barclay L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Napier City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Napier City come out ahead of Petone on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Napier City's way, sitting at 90%.
- Napier City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Napier City, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Petone Clean Sheet 10%
Napier City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Petone | Napier City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 11 | 31 |
| Wins | 0 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.55 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.82 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 4, 2026 Chatham Cup
Petone vs Napier City
0:4
Sep 24, 2023 National League
Napier City vs Petone
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Petone Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Napier City Compare
Top Goalscorer Stanley B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Hurd A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Petone 10 / 100
Napier City 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Petone Napier City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Napier City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Napier City has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Petone scored in 45% of their last 11 outings.
Difficult form: Napier City registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Petone VS Napier City
1 Goals Scored 2.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
67% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Petone
(Home) 04 Jul
Petone
0 : 4 Napier City
18 Nov
Petone
1 : 2 Manurewa
12 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
3 : 2 Petone
04 Nov
Petone
0 : 2 Auckland City
27 Oct
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1 Petone
Page 1 of 3
04 Jul
Petone
0 : 4 Napier City
18 Nov
Petone
1 : 2 Manurewa
04 Nov
Petone
0 : 2 Auckland City
14 Oct
Petone
0 : 1 Auckland United
30 Sept
Petone
1 : 5 Cashmere Technical
Page 1 of 2
Napier City
(Away) 26 Sept
Napier City
1 : 1 Miramar
16 Aug
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1 Napier City
26 Jul
Hibiscus Coast
2 : 5 Napier City
04 Jul
Petone
0 : 4 Napier City
06 Jul
Napier City
2 : 3 Wellington Olympic
Page 1 of 7
16 Aug
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1 Napier City
26 Jul
Hibiscus Coast
2 : 5 Napier City
04 Jul
Petone
0 : 4 Napier City
23 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3 Napier City
10 Nov
Coastal Spirit
1 : 3 Napier City
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Fencibles United AFC 3
South Auckland Rangers 0
Auckland City 3
Takapuna Afc 0
Nelson Suburbs FC 5
Northern AFC 0
Auckland United 3
Cambridge 1
Dunedin City Royals 0
Cashmere Technical 9
Island Bay 1
Miramar 3
Melville 0
Hibiscus Coast 1
Petone 0
Napier City 4
Quarter-finals
Fencibles United AFC 3
Auckland City 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 2
Auckland United 1
Cashmere Technical 2
Miramar 1
Hibiscus Coast 2
Napier City 5
Semi-finals
Fencibles United AFC 3
Nelson Suburbs FC 0
Cashmere Technical 2
Napier City 1
Final
Fencibles United AFC 2
Cashmere Technical 1
