Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Petrikov vs Molodechno

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Petrusevich A.
23' Event
Denisyuk A.
30' Event
Monich I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Pershaya Liga 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Petrikov
15%
Draws
69%
Molodechno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Molodechno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Molodechno lately — more wins on the board than Petrikov.
  • Model gives Molodechno a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Petrikov Clean Sheet 19%
Molodechno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrikov Molodechno
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Petrikov vs Molodechno
3:3
May 13, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Molodechno vs Petrikov
2:1
Oct 2, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Petrikov vs Molodechno
6:0
May 22, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Molodechno vs Petrikov
0:3
Nov 14, 2020 Division 2 - Promotion Group
Molodechno vs Petrikov
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Petrikov Compare

Top Goalscorer Denisyuk A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chakur A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Molodechno Compare

Top Goalscorer Monich I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Voyna E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrikov 10 / 100
Molodechno 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrikov Molodechno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molodechno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Petrikov's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Molodechno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Petrikov went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Molodechno
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Petrikov

(Home)
25 Nov
FK Lida
3 : 1
Petrikov
18 Nov
Petrikov
0 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
12 Nov
Niva Dolbizno
1 : 3
Petrikov
05 Nov
Petrikov
1 : 5
Zhodino Yuzhnoe
28 Oct
Vitebsk
2 : 1
Petrikov
Page 1 of 6

Molodechno

(Away)
20 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 2
Ostrovets
12 Sept
FC Slonim
0 : 0
Molodechno
04 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 0
BATE 2
29 Aug
Uni X Labs
0 : 1
Molodechno
21 Aug
Molodechno
4 : 1
Soligorsk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 32 26 3 3 86:30 81
2 Dnepr Mogilev 32 22 7 3 75:24 73
3 Vitebsk 32 23 4 5 68:22 73
4 Lokomotiv Gomel 32 19 5 8 55:40 62
5 ML Vitebsk 32 19 4 9 84:52 61
6 FK Baranovici 32 14 6 12 46:49 48
7 Zhodino Yuzhnoe 32 13 7 12 62:52 46
8 Volna Pinsk 32 12 7 13 41:49 43
9 Niva Dolbizno 32 12 5 15 53:66 41
10 FK Lida 32 12 5 15 44:48 41
11 Molodechno 32 11 8 13 51:56 41
12 Ostrovets 32 10 9 13 54:62 39
13 BumProm Gomel 32 10 8 14 45:62 38
14 Orsha 32 8 7 17 50:62 31
15 FC Slonim 32 5 7 20 26:63 22
16 Petrikov 32 6 4 22 33:72 22
17 Osipovichi 32 1 2 29 21:85 5
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2023 (Relegation)