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Petro Atletico vs Esperance Tunis

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League 2025/2026 Estádio 11 de Novembro, Luanda
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Tiago Reis
Assist: Pereira J.
50'
Ben Ali M.
61'
Sub
Gigal In: Ilidio A.
Out: Gigal

AI Match Summary

The CAF Champions League 2025/2026 game between Petro Atletico and Esperance Tunis finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Petro Atletico
15%
Draws
35%
Esperance Tunis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Petro Atletico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Petro Atletico carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Petro Atletico a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Petro Atletico Clean Sheet 68%
Esperance Tunis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petro Atletico Esperance Tunis
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 22 18
Draws 9 6
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.88 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.41 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 CAF Champions League
Esperance Tunis vs Petro Atletico
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 CAF Champions League
Petro Atletico vs Esperance Tunis
1:1
Dec 19, 2023 CAF Champions League
Petro Atletico vs Esperance Tunis
0:0
Dec 9, 2023 CAF Champions League
Esperance Tunis vs Petro Atletico
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Petro Atletico Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiago Reis
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Esperance Tunis Compare

Top Goalscorer Diakite A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petro Atletico 95 / 100
Esperance Tunis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petro Atletico Esperance Tunis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Petro Atletico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petro Atletico went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Petro Atletico scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Esperance Tunis conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Petro Atletico VS Esperance Tunis
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Petro Atletico

(Home)
17 Sept
Sao Salvador
0 : 1
Petro Atletico
12 Sept
Petro Atletico
2 : 2
UD Songo
06 Sept
UD Songo
0 : 1
Petro Atletico
30 Aug
Academica
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
26 Aug
Petro Atletico
3 : 0
C.R.D. Libolo
Page 1 of 7

Esperance Tunis

(Away)
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1
AS Marsa
30 Aug
Jeunesse Sportive
3 : 1
Esperance Tunis
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2
Etoile Sahel
08 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 2
AS Marsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pyramids 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Berkane 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Power Dynamos 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Rivers United 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly 6 2 4 0 8:3 10
2 FAR Rabat 6 2 3 1 3:2 9
3 Young Africans 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
4 Kabylie 6 0 3 3 1:8 3
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 6 3 2 1 9:7 11
2 Mamelodi Sundowns 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 MC Alger 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 St Eloi Lupopo 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stade Malien 6 3 2 1 5:2 11
2 Esperance Tunis 6 2 3 1 6:4 9
3 Petro Atletico 6 1 3 2 3:6 6
4 Simba 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)