Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026 Stadionul Municipal, Hincesti
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Cucos C.
46'
Sub
Ghorbel M. In: Forov D.
Out: Ghorbel M.
63'
Sub
Ze Flores In: Jaures-Ulrich L.
Out: Ze Flores

AI Match Summary

The Super Liga 2025/2026 game between Petrocub Hincesti and Sheriff Tiraspol finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Petrocub Hincesti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Petrocub Hincesti
6%
Draws
90%
Sheriff Tiraspol
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Petrocub Hincesti haven't matched Sheriff Tiraspol's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sheriff Tiraspol a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Petrocub Hincesti Clean Sheet 13%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrocub Hincesti Sheriff Tiraspol
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 20 21
Draws 6 4
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Super Liga
Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
2:3
May 13, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub Hincesti
2:0
May 6, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Super Liga
Petrocub Hincesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub Hincesti
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Petrocub Hincesti Compare

Top Goalscorer Cucos C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sheriff Tiraspol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrocub Hincesti 10 / 100
Sheriff Tiraspol 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrocub Hincesti Sheriff Tiraspol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petrocub Hincesti found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Petrocub Hincesti remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Sheriff Tiraspol has conceded goals in 42% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Petrocub Hincesti VS Sheriff Tiraspol
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Petrocub Hincesti

(Home)
19 Jul
Petrocub Hincesti
2 : 3
Sheriff Tiraspol
15 Jul
KF Egnatia
6 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
11 Jul
CSF Balti
1 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
08 Jul
Petrocub Hincesti
1 : 1
KF Egnatia
04 Jul
Petrocub Hincesti
5 : 0
Milsami
Page 1 of 7

Sheriff Tiraspol

(Away)
19 Jul
Petrocub Hincesti
2 : 3
Sheriff Tiraspol
16 Jul
Aluminij
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
12 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 2
Zimbru Chisinau
09 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
0 : 0
Aluminij
04 Jul
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0
Sheriff Tiraspol
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrocub Hincesti1081120:340
2Sheriff Tiraspol1072114:534
3Zimbru Chisinau1053218:1132
4Milsami102355:1319
5CSF Balti102264:1516
6Dacia Buiucani100196:202
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)