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Petrojet vs Abu Qir Semad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Egypt Egypt

League Cup
Wed, Jan 13, 2027
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the League Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Abu Qir Semad have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Petrojet have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.39. Past meetings favor Petrojet slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 14, 2023, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.44 - 1.19) back Petrojet to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Petrojet
20%
Draws
10%
Abu Qir Semad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Petrojet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Petrojet come out ahead of Abu Qir Semad on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Petrojet's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Petrojet have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Petrojet Clean Sheet 20%
Abu Qir Semad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrojet Abu Qir Semad
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.39 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.29 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2023 Division 2 A
Abu Qir Semad vs Petrojet
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrojet 85 / 100
Abu Qir Semad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrojet Abu Qir Semad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Petrojet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Petrojet found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Abu Qir Semad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Petrojet stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Petrojet VS Abu Qir Semad
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Petrojet

(Home)
16 Sept
El Gouna
1 : 2
Petrojet
07 Sept
Petrojet
2 : 1
Al Masry
31 Aug
Zamalek
2 : 1
Petrojet
26 Aug
Petrojet
2 : 3
El Gaish
22 Aug
Asyut Petroleum
1 : 1
Petrojet
Page 1 of 7

Abu Qir Semad

(Away)
08 Oct
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 1
Abu Qir Semad
15 Sept
Al Ahly
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
08 Sept
Zamalek
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
02 Sept
Abu Qir Semad
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
27 Aug
Pyramids
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ZED FC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Wadi Degla 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 El Gaish 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Ittihad Alexandria 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Zamalek 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Modern Sport 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Pyramids 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
3 Smouha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Qanah 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
5 National Bank Egypt 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Enppi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 El Gouna 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
5 Asyut Petroleum 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Masry 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Ghazl El Mahallah 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Abu Qir Semad 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Petrojet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Ceramica Cleopatra 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)