Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Petrojet vs El Gouna

Egypt Egypt

Premier League 2025/2026 Petrosport Stadium, Cairo
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Chukwudi G.
41'
Okasha M.
46'
Sub
Shika S. In: Salah R.
Out: Shika S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Petrojet and El Gouna finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Gouna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Petrojet
30%
Draws
16%
El Gouna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Petrojet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Petrojet come out ahead of El Gouna on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Petrojet Clean Sheet 68%
El Gouna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrojet El Gouna
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 14
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.44 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.28 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Premier League
El Gouna vs Petrojet
1:2
May 28, 2026 Premier League
Petrojet vs El Gouna
1:2
Jan 6, 2026 League Cup
El Gouna vs Petrojet
1:3
Sep 17, 2025 Premier League
El Gouna vs Petrojet
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 League Cup
Petrojet vs El Gouna
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Petrojet Compare

Top Goalscorer Chukwudi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

El Gouna Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohsen M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Emad M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrojet 41 / 100
El Gouna 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrojet El Gouna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Petrojet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petrojet's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

El Gouna let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Petrojet has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Petrojet VS El Gouna
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Petrojet

(Home)
16 Sept
El Gouna
1 : 2
Petrojet
07 Sept
Petrojet
2 : 1
Al Masry
31 Aug
Zamalek
2 : 1
Petrojet
26 Aug
Petrojet
2 : 3
El Gaish
22 Aug
Asyut Petroleum
1 : 1
Petrojet
Page 1 of 7

El Gouna

(Away)
16 Sept
El Gouna
1 : 2
Petrojet
09 Sept
Pyramids
1 : 0
El Gouna
02 Sept
El Gouna
0 : 1
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
28 Aug
Al Qanah
1 : 1
El Gouna
23 Aug
El Gouna
1 : 1
Modern Sport
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
8 Wadi Degla 13 6 6 1 19:9 53
9 ZED FC 13 5 5 3 18:15 49
10 National Bank Egypt 13 6 4 3 20:16 48
11 El Gouna 13 4 6 3 10:9 46
12 Petrojet 13 5 5 3 18:15 45
13 Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) 13 4 8 1 15:10 38
14 Ghazl El Mahallah 13 4 7 2 15:11 38
15 Modern Sport 13 2 8 3 8:10 37
16 El Gaish 13 4 3 6 7:10 37
17 Al Ittihad Alexandria 13 3 7 3 14:14 36
18 Kahrabaa Ismailia 13 3 7 3 13:16 32
19 Haras El Hodood 13 1 6 6 11:19 26
20 Pharco FC 13 2 4 7 7:13 25
21 El Ismaily 13 1 6 6 4:12 20
Relegation - Division 2 A (Main)