Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Petrolul Berca vs Progresul Draganesti

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Petrolul Berca in this Liga 3 - Seria 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Petrolul Berca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Petrolul Berca
20%
Draws
28%
Progresul Draganesti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Petrolul Berca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Petrolul Berca lately — more wins on the board than Progresul Draganesti.
  • Win probability leans Petrolul Berca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Petrolul Berca Clean Sheet 20%
Progresul Draganesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrolul Berca Progresul Draganesti
Matches Played 7 5
Wins 5 2
Draws 1 1
Losses 1 2
Goals Scored 2.86 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 3
Petrolul Berca vs Progresul Draganesti
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrolul Berca 85 / 100
Progresul Draganesti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrolul Berca Progresul Draganesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Petrolul Berca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Petrolul Berca scored in 100% of their last 7 outings.

Defensive concern: Progresul Draganesti conceded in 80% of 5 recent games.

Solid form: Petrolul Berca remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Petrolul Berca VS Progresul Draganesti
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Petrolul Berca

(Home)
22 Sept
Petrolul Berca
3 : 0
Progresul Draganesti
18 Sept
Viitorul Corbeanca
0 : 2
Petrolul Berca
12 Sept
Petrolul Berca
2 : 2
Tunari
05 Sept
Paulesti
0 : 3
Petrolul Berca
29 Aug
Petrolul Berca
3 : 2
Urban Titu
Page 1 of 2

Progresul Draganesti

(Away)
22 Sept
Petrolul Berca
3 : 0
Progresul Draganesti
19 Sept
Progresul Draganesti
4 : 2
CSO Plopeni
11 Sept
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
1 : 1
Progresul Draganesti
05 Sept
Progresul Draganesti
1 : 0
FC Pucioasa
28 Aug
AS Vointa Crevedia
2 : 0
Progresul Draganesti

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flacara Moreni 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Petrolul Berca 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
3 Tunari 5 4 1 0 12:3 13
4 AS Vointa Crevedia 5 2 1 2 12:9 7
5 Blejoi 5 2 1 2 9:7 7
6 Progresul Draganesti 5 2 1 2 6:8 7
7 CSO Plopeni 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
8 Viitorul Corbeanca 5 1 2 2 1:4 5
9 CSM Ramnicu Sarat 5 1 2 2 5:9 5
10 Urban Titu 5 1 1 3 5:11 4
11 FC Pucioasa 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
12 Paulesti 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 3 (Relegation Group)