Sport Picks

Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2024/2025

Vedita Colonesti

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Petrolul Potcoava play Vedita Colonesti in the Liga 3 - Seria 4 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Petrolul Potcoava averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Vedita Colonesti averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Petrolul Potcoava won 0, Vedita Colonesti won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 8, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Petrolul Potcoava and 1.56 for Vedita Colonesti. This points to a Vedita Colonesti double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Petrolul Potcoava

22%

Draws

51%

Vedita Colonesti

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Vedita Colonesti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Petrolul Potcoava picked up more points recently compared to Vedita Colonesti.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 49%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Petrolul Potcoava Clean Sheet 15%

Vedita Colonesti Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Petrolul Potcoava	Vedita Colonesti
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	15
Draws	7	7
Losses	15	8
Goals Scored	1.17	1.57
Goals Conceded	1.47	1.37
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4

Petrolul Potcoava vs Vedita Colonesti

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Oct 18, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 4

Vedita Colonesti vs Petrolul Potcoava

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

3:2

Mar 23, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 6

Vedita Colonesti vs Petrolul Potcoava

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Oct 21, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 6

Petrolul Potcoava vs Vedita Colonesti

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 2 - 4

0:3

Aug 9, 2023 Romanian Cup

Vedita Colonesti vs Petrolul Potcoava

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrolul Potcoava 27 / 100

Vedita Colonesti 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Petrolul Potcoava Vedita Colonesti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vedita Colonesti or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Petrolul Potcoava attacking → ← attacking Vedita Colonesti

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petrolul Potcoava scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Vedita Colonesti let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Petrolul Potcoava went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Vedita Colonesti lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 52

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CSM Alexandria	18	11	5	2	37:11	38
2	Progresul Spartac	18	12	2	4	24:12	38
3	CS Din. Bucuresti	18	11	2	5	35:21	35
4	Vedita Colonesti	18	7	6	5	29:18	27
5	Curtisoara	18	7	5	6	24:19	26
6	SCM Dunarea Giurgiu	18	6	5	7	17:25	23
7	LPS HD Clinceni	18	7	1	10	23:32	22
8	Cetatea Turnu Magurele	18	6	2	10	21:30	20
9	Petrolul Potcoava	18	4	5	9	19:25	17
10	Sporting Rosiori	18	2	1	15	11:47	7