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Stadium Background

Petrolul vs Sepsi Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Superliga Stadionul Ilie Oană, Ploiesti
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Petrolul host Sepsi in the Superliga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Petrolul at 1.38 goals for, 1.41 against; Sepsi at 1.27 for, 0.87 against. Head-to-head, Petrolul have won 2 to Sepsi's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2025, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.50 - 1.13) back Sepsi to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Petrolul
20%
Draws
23%
Sepsi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Petrolul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sepsi lately — more wins on the board than Petrolul.
  • Petrolul are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Superliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Petrolul Clean Sheet 20%
Sepsi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Petrolul Sepsi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Sepsi vs Petrolul
2:2
Apr 4, 2025 Superliga
Petrolul vs Sepsi
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 Superliga
Petrolul vs Sepsi
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 Superliga
Sepsi vs Petrolul
1:1
Mar 8, 2024 Superliga
Petrolul vs Sepsi
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Petrolul 85 / 100
Sepsi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Petrolul Sepsi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Petrolul Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Petrolul found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Petrolul remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Sepsi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Petrolul VS Sepsi
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Petrolul

(Home)
21 Sept
Petrolul
2 : 0
Miercurea Ciuc
14 Sept
FCSB
2 : 2
Petrolul
06 Sept
Petrolul
2 : 0
Corvinul Hunedoara
01 Sept
Universitatea Cluj
1 : 0
Petrolul
28 Aug
Universitatea Cluj
2 : 3
Petrolul
Page 1 of 6

Sepsi

(Away)
26 Sept
Sepsi
1 : 1
Gloria Bistrita
18 Sept
FC UTA Arad
1 : 0
Sepsi
12 Sept
Sepsi
3 : 1
CFR Cluj
05 Sept
FC Botosani
5 : 0
Sepsi
01 Sept
Sepsi
1 : 3
CFR Cluj
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 10 7 2 1 23:7 23
2 Rapid Bucuresti 10 6 3 1 14:6 21
3 Univ. Craiova 10 6 2 2 24:9 20
4 Petrolul 10 6 1 3 13:12 19
5 Universitatea Cluj 9 5 0 4 14:13 15
6 Farul Constanta 10 3 5 2 14:14 14
7 Corvinul Hunedoara 10 3 4 3 11:9 13
8 CFR Cluj 9 4 1 4 15:14 13
9 Sepsi 10 3 4 3 7:10 13
10 FC UTA Arad 10 3 3 4 14:15 12
11 FCSB 10 3 3 4 13:17 12
12 FC Botosani 10 2 5 3 14:12 11
13 Campionii Arges 10 3 2 5 6:10 11
14 Otelul 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
15 Voluntari 10 2 2 6 9:22 8
16 Miercurea Ciuc 10 0 1 9 6:23 1
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation Group)