Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pevidem vs Vitoria Guimaraes B

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Silva L.
20' Event
Nogueira M.
54' Event
da Costa R.

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Guimaraes B in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria Guimaraes B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Pevidem
30%
Draws
39%
Vitoria Guimaraes B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vitoria Guimaraes B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria Guimaraes B lately — more wins on the board than Pevidem.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Vitoria Guimaraes B taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Pevidem Clean Sheet 21%
Vitoria Guimaraes B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pevidem Vitoria Guimaraes B
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 8 19
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pevidem vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
1:2
Aug 17, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Pevidem
0:1
Mar 5, 2022 Liga 3
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Pevidem
2:1
Dec 8, 2021 Liga 3
Pevidem vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
1:4
Feb 20, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Pevidem
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pevidem Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Vitoria Guimaraes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Nogueira M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader da Costa R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pevidem 29 / 100
Vitoria Guimaraes B 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pevidem Vitoria Guimaraes B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Guimaraes B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pevidem scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Vitoria Guimaraes B conceded in 61% of 38 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Pevidem remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pevidem VS Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pevidem

(Home)
30 Aug
Celoricense
1 : 0
Pevidem
13 Apr
Rebordosa
2 : 1
Pevidem
06 Apr
Pevidem
2 : 0
Os Sandinenses
30 Mar
Paredes
4 : 0
Pevidem
15 Mar
Pevidem
1 : 1
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria Guimaraes B

(Away)
12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 0
Trofense
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0
Leca
07 Aug
Paredes
3 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)