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Pfaffenhofen vs SV Erlbach - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pfaffenhofen host SV Erlbach in the Oberliga Bayern Süd. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Pfaffenhofen at 1.89 goals for, 1.44 against; SV Erlbach at 1.32 for, 0.9 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.69, favoring Pfaffenhofen. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pfaffenhofen
30%
Draws
37%
SV Erlbach
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SV Erlbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SV Erlbach lately — more wins on the board than Pfaffenhofen.
  • Pfaffenhofen are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Pfaffenhofen Clean Sheet 13%
SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pfaffenhofen SV Erlbach
Matches Played 18 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 1.89 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.44 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pfaffenhofen 40 / 100
SV Erlbach 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pfaffenhofen SV Erlbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pfaffenhofen found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (18 games).

Pfaffenhofen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

SV Erlbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pfaffenhofen VS SV Erlbach
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pfaffenhofen

(Home)
24 Oct
Kirchanschoring
0 : 2
Pfaffenhofen
17 Oct
Pfaffenhofen
2 : 1
Gundelfingen
09 Oct
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
2 : 1
Pfaffenhofen
03 Oct
Pfaffenhofen
4 : 2
Deisenhofen
26 Sept
Landshut
0 : 0
Pfaffenhofen
Page 1 of 4

SV Erlbach

(Away)
23 Oct
SV Erlbach
2 : 1
Schalding
17 Oct
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 3
SV Erlbach
09 Oct
SV Erlbach
3 : 1
Geretsried
03 Oct
Heimstetten
0 : 0
SV Erlbach
25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1
Pipinsried
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pipinsried 16 10 3 3 42:21 33
2 SV Erlbach 16 9 5 2 23:10 32
3 TSV 1880 Wasserburg 16 10 1 5 36:25 31
4 Pfaffenhofen 16 8 5 3 29:25 29
5 Landshut 16 8 4 4 30:19 28
6 Hankofen-Hailing 16 8 4 4 27:19 28
7 FC Schwaig 16 6 9 1 35:19 27
8 Ismaning 16 7 2 7 32:24 23
9 Munich 1860 II 16 5 6 5 33:30 21
10 TSV Schwabmunchen 16 5 4 7 31:32 19
11 Heimstetten 16 4 7 5 27:29 19
12 Kottern-St. Mang 16 4 6 6 15:21 18
13 Gundelfingen 16 4 5 7 22:25 17
14 Deisenhofen 16 4 4 8 21:37 16
15 TSV 1860 Rosenheim 16 3 6 7 20:29 15
16 Kirchanschoring 16 4 3 9 20:33 15
17 Geretsried 16 3 2 11 16:34 11
18 Schalding 16 2 4 10 19:46 10
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)