Sport Picks
PFC Sochi vs SKA Khabarovsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi 
Match Events
2'
2'
Fedorov Z.
(Penalty)
12'
12'
Koryan A.
19'
19'
Litvinov V.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to PFC Sochi lately — more wins on the board than SKA Khabarovsk.
- PFC Sochi are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
PFC Sochi Clean Sheet 16%
SKA Khabarovsk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | PFC Sochi | SKA Khabarovsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 FNL
PFC Sochi vs SKA Khabarovsk
1:1
Jun 30, 2026 Club Friendly
PFC Sochi vs SKA Khabarovsk
4:2
Mar 16, 2025 FNL
SKA Khabarovsk vs PFC Sochi
0:1
Jul 28, 2024 FNL
PFC Sochi vs SKA Khabarovsk
1:2
Mar 14, 2024 Russian Cup
SKA Khabarovsk vs PFC Sochi
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
PFC Sochi Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
SKA Khabarovsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Koryan A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
PFC Sochi 36 / 100
SKA Khabarovsk 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
PFC Sochi SKA Khabarovsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: PFC Sochi scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
SKA Khabarovsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
PFC Sochi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
PFC Sochi VS SKA Khabarovsk
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
PFC Sochi
(Home) 18 Sept
PFC Sochi
1 : 1 SKA Khabarovsk
14 Sept
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 PFC Sochi
09 Sept
Dynamo Petersburg
2 : 0 PFC Sochi
05 Sept
PFC Sochi
0 : 1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
30 Aug
PFC Sochi
2 : 1 Chelyabinsk
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18 Sept
PFC Sochi
1 : 1 SKA Khabarovsk
05 Sept
PFC Sochi
0 : 1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod
30 Aug
PFC Sochi
2 : 1 Chelyabinsk
16 Aug
PFC Sochi
1 : 0 Ulyanovsk
26 Jul
PFC Sochi
5 : 0 Arsenal Tula
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SKA Khabarovsk
(Away) 27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
PFC Sochi
1 : 1 SKA Khabarovsk
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
09 Sept
Krasnoye Znamya
0 : 4 SKA Khabarovsk
05 Sept
Leningradets
3 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
PFC Sochi
1 : 1 SKA Khabarovsk
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
09 Sept
Krasnoye Znamya
0 : 4 SKA Khabarovsk
05 Sept
Leningradets
3 : 2 SKA Khabarovsk
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Veles Moscow | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:17 | 26 |
| 3 | Ural | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21:8 | 25 |
| 4 | S. Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 5 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moscow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:9 | 21 |
| 7 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:24 | 16 |
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 11 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:21 | 15 |
| 12 | Yenisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 14 | Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | 13 |
| 15 | Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 9:19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 10 |
| 17 | Tekstilshtik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 18 | SKA Khabarovsk | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14:26 | 7 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
