Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Subaru Park

Philadelphia Union II

4 - 1

Carolina Core

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Orbaugh C.

20'

Jakupovic M.

Assist: LeBlanc K.

25'

Korzeniowski S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Philadelphia Union II and Carolina Core finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philadelphia Union II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Philadelphia Union II

33%

Draws

27%

Carolina Core

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Philadelphia Union II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Philadelphia Union II carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Philadelphia Union II's way, sitting at 40%.
Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Philadelphia Union II have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 16%

Carolina Core Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Philadelphia Union II	Carolina Core
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	17	9
Draws	1	0
Losses	12	18
Goals Scored	1	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Philadelphia Union II vs Carolina Core

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

4:1

Jul 30, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Carolina Core vs Philadelphia Union II

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 0 - 3

3:2

Sep 11, 2024 MLS Next Pro

Carolina Core vs Philadelphia Union II

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philadelphia Union II Compare

Top Goalscorer Korzeniowski S.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Jakupovic M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Carolina Core Compare

Top Goalscorer Tattevin A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philadelphia Union II 39 / 100

Carolina Core 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Philadelphia Union II Carolina Core

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PHI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Philadelphia Union II scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Carolina Core let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Philadelphia Union II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Philadelphia Union II VS Carolina Core

1 Goals Scored 1.38

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	18	13	5	33:29	36
2	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
3	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
4	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
5	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
6	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
7	Toronto FC II	19	8	11	30:36	25
8	FC Cincinnati 2	18	5	13	17:34	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	18	13	5	44:27	37
2	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
3	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
4	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
5	Chicago Fire II	18	9	9	29:27	27
6	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
7	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
8	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
5	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
6	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
4	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
5	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	18	13	5	44:27	37
2	Columbus Crew 2	18	13	5	33:29	36
3	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
4	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
5	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
6	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
7	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
8	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
9	Chicago Fire II	18	9	9	29:27	27
10	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
11	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
12	Toronto FC II	19	8	11	30:36	25
13	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
14	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
15	FC Cincinnati 2	18	5	13	17:34	14
16	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
4	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
5	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
6	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
7	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
8	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
9	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
10	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
11	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12