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Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro Subaru Park, Chester, PA
Philadelphia Union II Logo

Philadelphia Union II

1 - 0
FT
Columbus Crew 2 Logo

Columbus Crew 2

Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Aoki R.
46'
Benitez O.
58'
Sub
Danjaji J. In: Adams C.
Out: Danjaji J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Philadelphia Union II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Philadelphia Union II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Philadelphia Union II
15%
Draws
34%
Columbus Crew 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philadelphia Union II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Columbus Crew 2 lately — more wins on the board than Philadelphia Union II.
  • Philadelphia Union II are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 10%
Columbus Crew 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philadelphia Union II Columbus Crew 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 17
Draws 1 0
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew 2
1:0
Jul 18, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew 2 vs Philadelphia Union II
2:0
May 17, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew 2
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew 2 vs Philadelphia Union II
1:3
Jun 21, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew 2 vs Philadelphia Union II
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philadelphia Union II Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffin J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Columbus Crew 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philadelphia Union II 40 / 100
Columbus Crew 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philadelphia Union II Columbus Crew 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Columbus Crew 2 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Philadelphia Union II scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Philadelphia Union II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Philadelphia Union II VS Columbus Crew 2
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Philadelphia Union II

(Home)
20 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 2
New York City II
13 Sept
Chicago Fire II
1 : 2
Philadelphia Union II
04 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0
Columbus Crew 2
30 Aug
FC Cincinnati 2
2 : 3
Philadelphia Union II
23 Aug
Philadelphia Union II
2 : 4
CT United FC
Page 1 of 6

Columbus Crew 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 1
Carolina Core
13 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
1 : 2
New England Revolution II
08 Sept
Toronto FC II
4 : 2
Columbus Crew 2
04 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0
Columbus Crew 2
30 Aug
Columbus Crew 2
4 : 0
Chicago Fire II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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