Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew 2

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Subaru Park
Sun, May 17, 2026
1 - 2
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Philadelphia Union II play Columbus Crew 2 in the MLS Next Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Philadelphia Union II averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Columbus Crew 2 averaged 2 goals scored and 2.16 conceded. In past meetings, Philadelphia Union II won 4, Columbus Crew 2 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Philadelphia Union II and 1.81 for Columbus Crew 2. This points to a Philadelphia Union II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Philadelphia Union II
15%
Draws
37%
Columbus Crew 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philadelphia Union II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Philadelphia Union II picked up more points recently compared to Columbus Crew 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 11%
Columbus Crew 2 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philadelphia Union II Columbus Crew 2
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 15
Draws 1 0
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.55 2
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew 2
1:2
Sep 14, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew 2 vs Philadelphia Union II
1:3
Jun 21, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Columbus Crew 2 vs Philadelphia Union II
1:3
May 11, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew 2
3:0
Nov 2, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs Columbus Crew 2
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philadelphia Union II Compare

Top Goalscorer Korzeniowski S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Columbus Crew 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zengue Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philadelphia Union II 45 / 100
Columbus Crew 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philadelphia Union II Columbus Crew 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Philadelphia Union II or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Philadelphia Union II attacking → ← attacking Columbus Crew 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philadelphia Union II scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Columbus Crew 2 let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Philadelphia Union II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Columbus Crew 2 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 45
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Columbus Crew 217120531:2734
2New York Red Bulls II17100739:2432
3New England Revolution II16110521:1831
4New York City II1580724:2325
5Philadelphia Union II1780921:2124
6CT United FC1680828:2922
7Toronto FC II17701025:3222
8FC Cincinnati 216501115:2914
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Crown Legacy16120441:2234
2Chattanooga17110633:2831
3Orlando City B17100737:3130
4Atlanta United 21680834:2527
5Chicago Fire II1680824:2424
6Huntsville City1670929:3521
7Carolina Core18501321:3117
8Inter Miami II15101413:375
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portland Timbers 217100723:2232
2Ventura County17100730:2429
3Los Angeles FC 21690728:2828
4San Jose Earthquakes II1480631:1725
5Real Monarchs1790827:3023
6Tacoma Defiance17701018:2421
7Vancouver Whitecaps 217501221:3614
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austin FC II16130334:1340
2Houston Dynamo 215120335:1334
3St. Louis City 217100728:2829
4Minnesota United 21890925:2926
5North Texas1570826:2022
6Sporting Kansas City II17401322:4413
7Colorado Rapids 217201515:359
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Columbus Crew 217120531:2734
2Crown Legacy16120441:2234
3New York Red Bulls II17100739:2432
4Chattanooga17110633:2831
5New England Revolution II16110521:1831
6Orlando City B17100737:3130
7Atlanta United 21680834:2527
8New York City II1580724:2325
9Philadelphia Union II1780921:2124
10Chicago Fire II1680824:2424
11CT United FC1680828:2922
12Toronto FC II17701025:3222
13Huntsville City1670929:3521
14Carolina Core18501321:3117
15FC Cincinnati 216501115:2914
16Inter Miami II15101413:375
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austin FC II16130334:1340
2Houston Dynamo 215120335:1334
3Portland Timbers 217100723:2232
4Ventura County17100730:2429
5St. Louis City 217100728:2829
6Los Angeles FC 21690728:2828
7Minnesota United 21890925:2926
8San Jose Earthquakes II1480631:1725
9Real Monarchs1790827:3023
10North Texas1570826:2022
11Tacoma Defiance17701018:2421
12Vancouver Whitecaps 217501221:3614
13Sporting Kansas City II17401322:4413
14Colorado Rapids 217201515:359