Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Philadelphia Union II vs Rochester New York

USA USA

MLS Next Pro 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Rayo G.
26'
Sub
Santos de Purificacao C. L. S. In: Ejimadu P.
Out: Santos de Purificacao C. L. S.
36'
Westfield F.

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro 2022 game between Philadelphia Union II and Rochester New York finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rochester New York.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Philadelphia Union II
20%
Draws
38%
Rochester New York
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Philadelphia Union II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Rochester New York have managed 0 goals a game lately — Philadelphia Union II are scoring more at 1.38.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Philadelphia Union II taking it.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Rochester New York have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 20%
Rochester New York Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philadelphia Union II Rochester New York
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 17 17
Draws 1 0
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2022 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs Rochester New York
1:2
Jul 7, 2022 MLS Next Pro
Rochester New York vs Philadelphia Union II
3:0
May 21, 2022 MLS Next Pro
Rochester New York vs Philadelphia Union II
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philadelphia Union II Compare

Top Goalscorer Donovan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Rochester New York Compare

Top Goalscorer Inalien W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Williams E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philadelphia Union II 42 / 100
Rochester New York 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philadelphia Union II Rochester New York

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Philadelphia Union II scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

Rochester New York's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Philadelphia Union II has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Philadelphia Union II VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Philadelphia Union II

(Home)
18 Jul
Columbus Crew 2
2 : 0
Philadelphia Union II
12 Jul
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0
Huntsville City
05 Jul
New England Revolution II
0 : 4
Philadelphia Union II
28 Jun
New York Red Bulls II
5 : 0
Philadelphia Union II
21 Jun
Orlando City B
1 : 2
Philadelphia Union II
Page 1 of 8

Rochester New York

(Away)
05 Apr
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0
Rochester New York
24 Sept
Columbus Crew 2
4 : 1
Rochester New York
18 Sept
Rochester New York
2 : 3
New York City II
11 Sept
Toronto FC II
0 : 1
Rochester New York
04 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 2
Rochester New York
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Toronto FC II241401044:3841
2Rochester New York241401037:3040
3Philadelphia Union II241401042:3940
4New York City II241301149:3537
5New England Revolution II241001427:4233
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 224180662:2255
2Inter Miami II241101340:4936
3Chicago Fire II241001441:4431
4Orlando City B24801640:5325
5FC Cincinnati 224601827:6517
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tacoma Defiance24170757:2549
2San Jose Earthquakes II241301148:3741
3Vancouver Whitecaps 2241001440:4032
4Real Monarchs24701728:5023
5Portland Timbers 224601829:6614
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 224160851:3449
2Houston Dynamo 224160838:2249
3North Texas24150948:3146
4Minnesota United 2241301143:3936
5Colorado Rapids 2241101333:5631
6Sporting Kansas City II241001431:3831
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Columbus Crew 224180662:2255
2Toronto FC II241401044:3841
3Rochester New York241401037:3040
4Philadelphia Union II241401042:3940
5New York City II241301149:3537
6Inter Miami II241101340:4936
7New England Revolution II241001427:4233
8Chicago Fire II241001441:4431
9Orlando City B24801640:5325
10FC Cincinnati 224601827:6517
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tacoma Defiance24170757:2549
2St. Louis City 224160851:3449
3Houston Dynamo 224160838:2249
4North Texas24150948:3146
5San Jose Earthquakes II241301148:3741
6Minnesota United 2241301143:3936
7Vancouver Whitecaps 2241001440:4032
8Colorado Rapids 2241101333:5631
9Sporting Kansas City II241001431:3831
10Real Monarchs24701728:5023
11Portland Timbers 224601829:6614
Promotion - MLS Next Pro 2022 (Play Offs)