Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Subaru Park, Chester, PA
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Philadelphia Union host Charlotte FC in the MLS. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Charlotte FC have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Philadelphia Union have conceded 1.59 and scored 2.03. Head-to-head, Philadelphia Union have won 2 to Charlotte FC's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 2.25 vs 1.44, favoring Charlotte FC. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Philadelphia Union
15%
Draws
34%
Charlotte FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philadelphia Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Charlotte FC lately — more wins on the board than Philadelphia Union.
  • Win probability leans Philadelphia Union's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 16%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philadelphia Union Charlotte FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.03 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Philadelphia Union
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Philadelphia Union
2:0
Jun 14, 2025 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC
2:1
Jul 28, 2024 Leagues Cup
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC
1:0
Jun 22, 2024 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte FC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philadelphia Union 84 / 100
Charlotte FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philadelphia Union Charlotte FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Philadelphia Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philadelphia Union scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Philadelphia Union has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Charlotte FC has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Philadelphia Union VS Charlotte FC
3.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Philadelphia Union

(Home)
10 Oct
Philadelphia Union
2 : 1
Real Salt Lake
26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2
Orlando City
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4
Philadelphia Union
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5
Philadelphia Union
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0
FC Cincinnati
Page 1 of 6

Charlotte FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Charlotte FC
3 : 2
FC Dallas
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
Chicago Fire
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3
Charlotte FC
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 28 14 8 6 54:38 50
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 29 9 9 11 39:50 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)