Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami

USA USA

MLS Subaru Park, Chester, PA
Philadelphia Union Logo

Philadelphia Union

2 - 2
FT
Inter Miami Logo

Inter Miami

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Vassilev I.
Assist: Westfield F.
21' Event
Pinter D.
Assist: Suarez L.
26' Event
Messi L.
Assist: Fray I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Philadelphia Union
30%
Draws
26%
Inter Miami
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Philadelphia Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Inter Miami carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Philadelphia Union are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 14%
Inter Miami Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philadelphia Union Inter Miami
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.83 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami
2:2
May 24, 2026 MLS
Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union
6:4
May 24, 2025 MLS
Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami
3:3
Mar 29, 2025 MLS
Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 MLS
Inter Miami vs Philadelphia Union
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philadelphia Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Vassilev I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pierre N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Inter Miami Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinter D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Messi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philadelphia Union 84 / 100
Inter Miami 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philadelphia Union Inter Miami

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Philadelphia Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Philadelphia Union remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Philadelphia Union found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Inter Miami conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Philadelphia Union VS Inter Miami
2.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Philadelphia Union

(Home)
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4
Philadelphia Union
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5
Philadelphia Union
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0
FC Cincinnati
05 Sept
Philadelphia Union
2 : 0
CF Montreal
29 Aug
New York Red Bulls
1 : 3
Philadelphia Union
Page 1 of 6

Inter Miami

(Away)
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Cruz Azul
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Nashville SC
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1
Inter Miami
05 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Atlanta United
29 Aug
Inter Miami
7 : 1
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 25 15 4 6 56:23 49
2 Houston Dynamo 26 13 5 8 34:30 44
3 St. Louis City 26 12 8 6 45:36 44
4 FC Dallas 26 12 8 6 49:42 44
5 San Jose Earthquakes 26 12 6 8 46:38 42
6 Los Angeles FC 27 11 8 8 43:29 41
7 Colorado Rapids 26 11 3 12 36:35 36
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 27 8 9 10 34:42 33
9 Portland Timbers 26 9 5 12 47:48 32
10 San Diego FC 26 8 7 11 44:44 31
11 Austin FC 26 7 9 10 32:44 30
12 Real Salt Lake 25 8 5 12 37:42 29
13 Seattle Sounders 24 7 8 9 28:33 29
14 Minnesota United 26 7 8 11 39:46 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 25 5 3 17 29:63 18
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 26 17 6 3 53:21 57
2 New England Revolution 26 14 4 8 45:33 46
3 Inter Miami 26 12 10 4 63:48 46
4 Charlotte FC 26 12 7 7 47:37 43
5 Chicago Fire 25 11 6 8 45:38 39
6 Philadelphia Union 26 10 6 10 50:42 36
7 Orlando City 26 10 4 12 46:60 34
8 New York Red Bulls 26 9 6 11 34:48 33
9 FC Cincinnati 25 8 9 8 54:61 33
10 New York City 26 8 8 10 39:34 32
11 DC United 25 6 11 8 31:39 29
12 Toronto FC 26 6 11 9 39:49 29
13 Columbus Crew 26 7 5 14 37:42 26
14 Atlanta United 26 7 5 14 30:43 26
15 CF Montreal 26 5 6 15 31:53 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)