Sport Picks

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA

MLS Subaru Park, Chester, PA

New England Revolution

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Philadelphia Union host New England Revolution in the MLS. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Philadelphia Union at 2.14 goals for, 1.55 against; New England Revolution at 1.59 for, 1.37 against. Head-to-head, Philadelphia Union have won 4 to New England Revolution's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 2.63 vs 1.31, favoring Philadelphia Union. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Philadelphia Union

15%

Draws

35%

New England Revolution

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philadelphia Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to New England Revolution lately — more wins on the board than Philadelphia Union.
Philadelphia Union are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Philadelphia Union have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 18%

New England Revolution Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Philadelphia Union	New England Revolution
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	14	15
Draws	7	4
Losses	8	8
Goals Scored	2.14	1.59
Goals Conceded	1.55	1.37
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 MLS

New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union

2:1

Sep 20, 2025 MLS

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution

1:0

Mar 9, 2025 MLS

New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union

0:2

Jul 17, 2024 MLS

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution

5:1

May 18, 2024 MLS

New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union

0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philadelphia Union 85 / 100

New England Revolution 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Philadelphia Union New England Revolution

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Philadelphia Union Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philadelphia Union's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

New England Revolution has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Philadelphia Union has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Philadelphia Union VS New England Revolution

3.5 Goals Scored 1.63

1 Goals Conceded 1.75

100% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 88%

75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History