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Philadelphia Union vs Santos Laguna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

Leagues Cup Subaru Park, Chester, PA
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Mariscal Murra S.
26'
Picon K.
46'
Sub
Aguirre E. In: Bullaude E.
Out: Aguirre E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Philadelphia Union
15%
Draws
34%
Santos Laguna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philadelphia Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Philadelphia Union carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Philadelphia Union a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Philadelphia Union have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Santos Laguna, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Philadelphia Union Clean Sheet 20%
Santos Laguna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philadelphia Union Santos Laguna
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.07 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Leagues Cup
Philadelphia Union vs Santos Laguna
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philadelphia Union Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Santos Laguna Compare

Top Goalscorer Sordo R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bullaude E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philadelphia Union 76 / 100
Santos Laguna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philadelphia Union Santos Laguna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Philadelphia Union Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Philadelphia Union scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Santos Laguna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Philadelphia Union went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Philadelphia Union VS Santos Laguna
3.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Philadelphia Union

(Home)
26 Sept
Philadelphia Union
4 : 2
Orlando City
20 Sept
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 4
Philadelphia Union
14 Sept
San Diego FC
0 : 5
Philadelphia Union
09 Sept
Philadelphia Union
5 : 0
FC Cincinnati
05 Sept
Philadelphia Union
2 : 0
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6

Santos Laguna

(Away)
27 Sept
Santos Laguna
1 : 0
Pachuca
21 Sept
Toluca
2 : 3
Santos Laguna
14 Sept
Santos Laguna
2 : 1
Juarez
06 Sept
Cruz Azul
1 : 0
Santos Laguna
30 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Club America 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toluca 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Monterrey 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 Cruz Azul 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Juarez 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
7 Tigres UANL 3 3 0 0 2:2 6
8 Guadalajara Chivas 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Santos Laguna 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Pachuca 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Atlas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
12 Necaxa 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Atlante 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
14 Atletico San Luis 3 0 0 3 5:10 1
15 UNAM Pumas 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
16 Queretaro 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
17 Club Tijuana 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
18 Puebla 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chicago Fire 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Austin FC 3 3 0 0 6:1 8
3 Columbus Crew 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
4 Real Salt Lake 3 2 0 1 8:1 7
5 Los Angeles FC 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
6 Charlotte FC 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
7 Portland Timbers 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
8 FC Cincinnati 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
9 FC Dallas 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
10 San Diego FC 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
11 Orlando City 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
12 Minnesota United 3 1 0 2 4:3 4
13 Nashville SC 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Inter Miami 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
15 New York City 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
16 Seattle Sounders 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
17 Philadelphia Union 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
18 Vancouver Whitecaps 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)