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Philippines U19 vs Indonesia U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

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AFF Championship U19 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Tasnim R.
(Penalty)
27' Event
Nico A.
29' Event
Frias J.

AI Match Summary

Indonesia U19 in this AFF Championship U19 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Indonesia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Philippines U19
15%
Draws
68%
Indonesia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Indonesia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Indonesia U19 lately — more wins on the board than Philippines U19.
  • Indonesia U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Indonesia U19 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Philippines U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Indonesia U19 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philippines U19 Indonesia U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 18
Draws 1 3
Losses 25 8
Goals Scored 0.97 2.24
Goals Conceded 3.73 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.89 3.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2024 ASEAN Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Philippines U19
6:0
Jul 8, 2022 ASEAN Championship U19
Philippines U19 vs Indonesia U19
1:5
Aug 6, 2019 ASEAN Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Philippines U19
7:1
Jul 5, 2018 ASEAN Championship U19
Philippines U19 vs Indonesia U19
1:4
Oct 10, 2013 AFC Championship U19
Philippines U19 vs Indonesia U19
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philippines U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Frias J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.45

Indonesia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nico A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tasnim R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.22
Avg xA / game 1.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philippines U19 10 / 100
Indonesia U19 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philippines U19 Indonesia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Philippines U19 scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Indonesia U19 let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Philippines U19 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Philippines U19 VS Indonesia U19
1.14 Goals Scored 3.5
3.57 Goals Conceded 0.63
86% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 63%
57% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Philippines U19

(Home)
06 Jun
Cambodia U19
3 : 0
Philippines U19
03 Jun
Philippines U19
0 : 10
Australia U19
23 Jul
Cambodia U19
1 : 0
Philippines U19
20 Jul
Philippines U19
2 : 0
Timor-Leste U19
17 Jul
Indonesia U19
6 : 0
Philippines U19
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Indonesia U19

(Away)
13 Jun
Cambodia U19
0 : 1
Indonesia U19
11 Jun
Indonesia U19
0 : 1
Australia U19
07 Jun
Indonesia U19
2 : 1
Vietnam U19
04 Jun
Timor-Leste U19
0 : 3
Indonesia U19
01 Jun
Indonesia U19
3 : 0
Myanmar U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U19 5 3 2 0 12:3 11
2 Thailand U19 5 3 2 0 7:1 11
3 Indonesia U19 5 3 2 0 17:2 11
4 Myanmar U19 5 2 0 3 12:12 6
5 Philippines U19 5 1 0 4 8:13 3
6 Brunei U19 5 0 0 5 0:25 0
Promotion - AFF Championship U19 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laos U19 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
2 Malaysia U19 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
3 Timor-Leste U19 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
4 Cambodia U19 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
5 Singapore U19 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - AFF Championship U19 2022 (Play Offs)