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Philippines U19 vs Timor-Leste U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship U19 2024 Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bisong O.
61' Event
Bisong O.

AI Match Summary

The ASEAN Championship U19 2024 game between Philippines U19 and Timor-Leste U19 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philippines U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Philippines U19
15%
Draws
0%
Timor-Leste U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philippines U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Timor-Leste U19 come out ahead of Philippines U19 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Philippines U19's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Timor-Leste U19 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Philippines U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Timor-Leste U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philippines U19 Timor-Leste U19
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 1 3
Losses 25 19
Goals Scored 0.97 1.42
Goals Conceded 3.73 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 ASEAN Championship U19
Philippines U19 vs Timor-Leste U19
2:0
Aug 12, 2019 ASEAN Championship U19
Timor-Leste U19 vs Philippines U19
5:2
Sep 11, 2016 ASEAN Championship U19
Philippines U19 vs Timor-Leste U19
1:2
Sep 17, 2013 ASEAN Championship U19
Philippines U19 vs Timor-Leste U19
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philippines U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bisong O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Timor-Leste U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philippines U19 42 / 100
Timor-Leste U19 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philippines U19 Timor-Leste U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Difficult form: Timor-Leste U19 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Timor-Leste U19 let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Philippines U19 scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Philippines U19 VS Timor-Leste U19
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Philippines U19

(Home)
06 Jun
Cambodia U19
3 : 0
Philippines U19
03 Jun
Philippines U19
0 : 10
Australia U19
23 Jul
Cambodia U19
1 : 0
Philippines U19
20 Jul
Philippines U19
2 : 0
Timor-Leste U19
17 Jul
Indonesia U19
6 : 0
Philippines U19
Page 1 of 6

Timor-Leste U19

(Away)
07 Jun
Timor-Leste U19
1 : 3
Myanmar U19
04 Jun
Timor-Leste U19
0 : 3
Indonesia U19
01 Jun
Vietnam U19
3 : 0
Timor-Leste U19
23 Jul
Indonesia U19
6 : 2
Timor-Leste U19
20 Jul
Philippines U19
2 : 0
Timor-Leste U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U19 3 3 0 0 14:2 9
2 Cambodia U19 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
3 Timor-Leste U19 3 1 0 2 5:10 3
4 Philippines U19 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
Promotion - ASEAN Championship U19 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U19 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 Vietnam U19 3 1 1 1 7:8 4
3 Myanmar U19 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Laos U19 3 0 1 2 2:11 1
Promotion - ASEAN Championship U19 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U19 3 2 1 0 17:1 7
2 Thailand U19 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
3 Singapore U19 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Brunei U19 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship U19 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams