Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Philippines U23 vs Timor-Leste U23

Asia Asia

Southeast Asian Games 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Rontini C.
56' Event
Chung D.
78' Event
Bedic J.

AI Match Summary

The Southeast Asian Games 2021 game between Philippines U23 and Timor-Leste U23 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philippines U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Philippines U23
15%
Draws
26%
Timor-Leste U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philippines U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Philippines U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Philippines U23's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Southeast Asian Games 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Philippines U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Timor-Leste U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philippines U23 Timor-Leste U23
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 8
Draws 4 3
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.23 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.61 3.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2022 Southeast Asian Games
Philippines U23 vs Timor-Leste U23
4:0
Feb 14, 2022 ASEAN Championship U23
Timor-Leste U23 vs Philippines U23
2:2
Oct 31, 2021 AFC Asian Cup U23
Timor-Leste U23 vs Philippines U23
1:0
Dec 4, 2019 Southeast Asian Games
Timor-Leste U23 vs Philippines U23
1:6
Aug 24, 2017 Southeast Asian Games
Timor-Leste U23 vs Philippines U23
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philippines U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rontini C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chung D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Timor-Leste U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philippines U23 36 / 100
Timor-Leste U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philippines U23 Timor-Leste U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Philippines U23's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Timor-Leste U23 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Philippines U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Philippines U23 VS Timor-Leste U23
1 Goals Scored 2.29
1 Goals Conceded 3.14
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Philippines U23

(Home)
22 Sept
Philippines U23
2 : 1
Kuwait U23
18 Sept
Philippines U23
0 : 2
Vietnam U23
15 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
5 : 1
Philippines U23
09 Sept
Philippines U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
06 Sept
Philippines U23
1 : 0
Tajikistan U23
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Timor-Leste U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
6 : 0
Northern Mariana Islands U23
06 Sept
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 6
Australia U23
03 Sept
China U23
2 : 1
Timor-Leste U23
19 Jul
Timor-Leste U23
0 : 4
Thailand U23
16 Jul
Myanmar U23
4 : 4
Timor-Leste U23
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 4 3 1 0 6:0 10
2 Indonesia U23 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Myanmar U23 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
4 Philippines U23 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Timor-Leste U23 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 4 3 0 1 12:2 9
2 Malaysia U23 4 2 2 0 9:6 8
3 Singapore U23 4 1 2 1 5:9 5
4 Cambodia U23 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
5 Laos U23 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
Promotion - Southeast Asian Games 2021 (Play Offs)