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Philippines U23 vs Vietnam U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

Asian Games CS Asset Minato Soccer Stadium, Nagoya
Philippines U23 Logo

Philippines U23

0 - 2
FT
Vietnam U23 Logo

Vietnam U23

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Nguyen Phi Hoang In: Le Dinh L. V.
Out: Nguyen Phi Hoang
60'
Sub
Nguyen Quoc Viet In: Le Van Thuan
Out: Nguyen Quoc Viet
63'
Sub
Smith E. In: Pena J.
Out: Smith E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vietnam U23 in this Asian Games matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vietnam U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Philippines U23
15%
Draws
26%
Vietnam U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philippines U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Vietnam U23 have won more games recently than Philippines U23.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vietnam U23 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Philippines U23 Clean Sheet 12%
Vietnam U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philippines U23 Vietnam U23
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.57 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Asian Games
Philippines U23 vs Vietnam U23
0:2
Jul 25, 2025 ASEAN Championship U23
Vietnam U23 vs Philippines U23
2:1
Aug 22, 2023 ASEAN Championship U23
Vietnam U23 vs Philippines U23
1:0
May 8, 2022 Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam U23 vs Philippines U23
0:0
Aug 20, 2017 Southeast Asian Games
Philippines U23 vs Vietnam U23
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philippines U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Vietnam U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Thanh Nhan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen Le Phat
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philippines U23 30 / 100
Vietnam U23 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philippines U23 Vietnam U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philippines U23's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Philippines U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Vietnam U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Philippines U23 VS Vietnam U23
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Philippines U23

(Home)
22 Sept
Philippines U23
2 : 1
Kuwait U23
18 Sept
Philippines U23
0 : 2
Vietnam U23
15 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
5 : 1
Philippines U23
09 Sept
Philippines U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
06 Sept
Philippines U23
1 : 0
Tajikistan U23
Page 1 of 6

Vietnam U23

(Away)
25 Sept
South Korea U23
4 : 0
Vietnam U23
22 Sept
Vietnam U23
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
18 Sept
Philippines U23
0 : 2
Vietnam U23
15 Sept
Vietnam U23
1 : 1
Kuwait U23
31 Mar
China U23
1 : 0
Vietnam U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Thailand U23 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
3 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
4 Hong Kong U23 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 North Korea U23 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Iran U23 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 United Arab Emirates U23 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Vietnam U23 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Philippines U23 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Kuwait U23 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Saudi Arabia U23 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Qatar U23 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)