Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Philippines vs Thailand

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship New Clark City Athletics Stadium, Capas
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Muens G.
46'
Sub
Saelao C. In: Poeiphimai T.
Out: Saelao C.
46'
Sub
Anan P. In: Autra P.
Out: Anan P.

AI Match Summary

Thailand in this ASEAN Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thailand.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Philippines
20%
Draws
44%
Thailand
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Thailand

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Thailand have won more games recently than Philippines.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Philippines taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this ASEAN Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Thailand have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Philippines Clean Sheet 10%
Thailand Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philippines Thailand
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 22
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.62 2.42
Goals Conceded 1.55 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Philippines vs Thailand
0:1
Dec 30, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Thailand vs Philippines
3:1
Dec 27, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Philippines vs Thailand
2:1
Oct 11, 2024 Kings Cup (Thailand)
Thailand vs Philippines
3:1
Dec 26, 2022 ASEAN Championship
Thailand vs Philippines
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philippines Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Thailand Compare

Top Goalscorer Choolthong W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philippines 34 / 100
Thailand 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philippines Thailand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Philippines's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Philippines remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Thailand let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Philippines VS Thailand
3.13 Goals Scored 3
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Philippines

(Home)
04 Aug
Philippines
0 : 1
Thailand
01 Aug
Laos
1 : 4
Philippines
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4
Myanmar
09 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1
Myanmar
03 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1
Guam
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Thailand

(Away)
04 Aug
Philippines
0 : 1
Thailand
01 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0
Malaysia
25 Jul
Laos
0 : 5
Thailand
09 Jun
China
0 : 0
Thailand
05 Jun
Thailand
2 : 2
Kuwait
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
2 Singapore 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Indonesia 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Cambodia 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
5 Timor-Leste 4 0 0 4 0:15 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 4 4 0 0 10:0 12
2 Malaysia 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 Myanmar 4 2 0 2 12:7 6
4 Philippines 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
5 Laos 4 0 0 4 3:20 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)