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Philippines W vs South Korea W

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women Cbus Super Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Jeon Yu-Gyeong
Assist: Kim Shin-Ji
15' Event
Park Soo-Jeong
Assist: Choo Hyo-Joo
46'
Sub
McDaniel C. In: Ramirez M.
Out: McDaniel C.

AI Match Summary

South Korea W in this Asian Cup Women matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored South Korea W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Philippines W
6%
Draws
90%
South Korea W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Korea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Philippines W have won more games recently than South Korea W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on South Korea W taking it.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Asian Cup Women game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and South Korea W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Philippines W Clean Sheet 10%
South Korea W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philippines W South Korea W
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Asian Cup Women
Philippines W vs South Korea W
0:3
Apr 8, 2024 Friendly International Women
South Korea W vs Philippines W
2:1
Apr 5, 2024 Friendly International Women
South Korea W vs Philippines W
3:0
Sep 25, 2023 Asian Games Women
Philippines W vs South Korea W
1:5
Feb 3, 2022 Asian Cup Women
South Korea W vs Philippines W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philippines W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

South Korea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeon Yu-Gyeong
1 Goals
Assists Leader Park Soo-Jeong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philippines W 10 / 100
South Korea W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philippines W South Korea W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Philippines W scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

South Korea W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Philippines W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Philippines W VS South Korea W
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1South Korea W32109:37
2Australia W32108:37
3Philippines W31022:43
4Iran W30030:90
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1China W33007:19
2North Korea W32019:26
3Uzbekistan W31024:63
4Bangladesh W30030:110
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Japan W330017:09
2Chinese Taipei W32014:36
3Vietnam W31022:63
4India W30032:160