Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Philippines W vs Timor-Leste W

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship Women 2025 Việt Trì Stadium, Việt Trì
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Schinaman A.
Assist: McDaniel C.
7' Event
Quezada Q.
9' Event
Long H.
Assist: McDaniel C.

AI Match Summary

The ASEAN Championship Women 2025 game between Philippines W and Timor-Leste W finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Philippines W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Philippines W
15%
Draws
0%
Timor-Leste W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philippines W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Philippines W come out ahead of Timor-Leste W on wins alone.
  • Philippines W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Philippines W Clean Sheet 68%
Timor-Leste W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Philippines W Timor-Leste W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 2
Draws 3 3
Losses 10 25
Goals Scored 2.07 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.1 5.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2025 ASEAN Championship Women
Philippines W vs Timor-Leste W
7:0
Aug 17, 2019 ASEAN Championship Women
Timor-Leste W vs Philippines W
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Philippines W Compare

Top Goalscorer Quezada Q.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tolentin D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Timor-Leste W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Philippines W 95 / 100
Timor-Leste W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Philippines W Timor-Leste W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Philippines W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Timor-Leste W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Philippines W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Philippines W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Philippines W VS Timor-Leste W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Philippines W

(Home)
21 Sept
China W
5 : 1
Philippines W
17 Sept
Hong Kong W
0 : 2
Philippines W
14 Sept
Philippines W
1 : 1
Uzbekistan W
09 Jun
Albion San Diego W
0 : 2
Philippines W
04 Jun
San Diego Wave W
1 : 0
Philippines W
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Timor-Leste W

(Away)
13 Jul
Cambodia W
3 : 1
Timor-Leste W
10 Jul
Timor-Leste W
0 : 2
Indonesia W
13 Aug
Australia U23 W
9 : 0
Timor-Leste W
10 Aug
Timor-Leste W
0 : 3
Myanmar W
07 Aug
Philippines W
7 : 0
Timor-Leste W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam W 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Thailand W 3 2 0 1 14:1 6
3 Cambodia W 3 0 1 2 1:14 1
4 Indonesia W 3 0 1 2 1:15 1
Promotion - ASEAN Championship Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar W 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Australia U23 W 3 2 0 1 11:2 6
3 Philippines W 3 1 1 1 8:2 4
4 Timor-Leste W 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship Women 2025 (Play Offs)