Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Phnom Penh Crown vs Moi Kompong Dewa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cambodia Cambodia

CPL RSN Stadium, Phnom Penh
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Phnom Penh Crown host Moi Kompong Dewa in the CPL. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Phnom Penh Crown have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.37 conceded recently, against Moi Kompong Dewa's 1.21 scored and 1.28 conceded. Head-to-head, Phnom Penh Crown have won 2 to Moi Kompong Dewa's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.56) point toward Phnom Penh Crown. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Phnom Penh Crown
30%
Draws
19%
Moi Kompong Dewa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Phnom Penh Crown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Phnom Penh Crown have won more games recently than Moi Kompong Dewa.
  • Model gives Phnom Penh Crown a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular CPL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Phnom Penh Crown Clean Sheet 15%
Moi Kompong Dewa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phnom Penh Crown Moi Kompong Dewa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs Phnom Penh Crown
1:0
Mar 8, 2026 CPL
Phnom Penh Crown vs Moi Kompong Dewa
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 CPL
Phnom Penh Crown vs Moi Kompong Dewa
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs Phnom Penh Crown
0:1
Feb 1, 2025 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs Phnom Penh Crown
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phnom Penh Crown 84 / 100
Moi Kompong Dewa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phnom Penh Crown Moi Kompong Dewa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phnom Penh Crown Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phnom Penh Crown's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Phnom Penh Crown has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Moi Kompong Dewa conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Phnom Penh Crown VS Moi Kompong Dewa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Phnom Penh Crown

(Home)
17 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 1
Kuching City FC
12 Sept
Angkor Tiger
2 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
05 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 2
NagaWorld
17 May
Svay Rieng
1 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
10 May
Phnom Penh Crown
3 : 0
NagaWorld
Page 1 of 6

Moi Kompong Dewa

(Away)
20 Sept
Moi Kompong Dewa
2 : 0
Life FC
13 Sept
Moi Kompong Dewa
0 : 2
Visakha
05 Sept
Angkor Tiger
0 : 0
Moi Kompong Dewa
17 May
Boeung Ket
4 : 3
Moi Kompong Dewa
10 May
Moi Kompong Dewa
1 : 2
Angkor Tiger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Visakha 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Svay Rieng 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
3 NagaWorld 3 2 1 0 8:6 7
4 Dangkor Senchey 3 1 2 0 10:4 5
5 Moi Kompong Dewa 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
6 Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 3 1 0 2 2:10 3
7 Phnom Penh Crown 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
8 Angkor Tiger 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
9 Boeung Ket 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
10 Life FC 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
11 Tiffy Army 3 0 0 3 5:15 0
Promotion - CPL (Championship Group)
Relegation - CPL (Relegation Group)