Sport Picks
Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Wild Horse Pass Stadium, Chandler, AZ 
Match Events
8'
8'
Alfaro J.
11'
11'
Rubin R.
Assist: Moreno A.
23'
23'
Dollenmayer N.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Phoenix Rising and El Paso Locomotive finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward El Paso Locomotive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: El Paso Locomotive
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- El Paso Locomotive carry the better recent record into this one.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on El Paso Locomotive taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Phoenix Rising Clean Sheet 10%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Phoenix Rising | El Paso Locomotive |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive
1:3
Jun 14, 2026 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs El Paso Locomotive
3:3
Jul 20, 2025 USL Cup
El Paso Locomotive vs Phoenix Rising
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Phoenix Rising Compare
Top Goalscorer Czichos R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
El Paso Locomotive Compare
Top Goalscorer Rubin R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Calvillo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Phoenix Rising 14 / 100
El Paso Locomotive 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Phoenix Rising El Paso Locomotive
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick El Paso Locomotive Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Phoenix Rising's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
El Paso Locomotive's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Phoenix Rising remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Phoenix Rising VS El Paso Locomotive
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Phoenix Rising
(Home) 04 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 1 Phoenix Rising
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0 Phoenix Rising
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
13 Sept
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 FC Tulsa
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
13 Sept
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 FC Tulsa
30 Aug
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 Indy Eleven
20 Aug
Phoenix Rising
3 : 1 Colorado Springs
26 Jul
Phoenix Rising
0 : 0 Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 3
El Paso Locomotive
(Away) 03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
26 Sept
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1 FC Tulsa
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
30 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
4 : 1 Loudoun United
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
23 Aug
Colorado Springs
0 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
16 Aug
San Antonio FC
0 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
