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Phoenix Rising vs Hartford Athletic

USA USA

USL Championship Wild Horse Pass Stadium, Chandler, AZ
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Phoenix Rising
40%
Draws
29%
Hartford Athletic
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Hartford Athletic have won more games recently than Phoenix Rising.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Phoenix Rising Clean Sheet 12%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Phoenix Rising Hartford Athletic
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Hartford Athletic
0:0
Jul 26, 2024 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Phoenix Rising
0:0
May 14, 2023 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Hartford Athletic
3:1
May 28, 2022 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Phoenix Rising
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Phoenix Rising 30 / 100
Hartford Athletic 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Phoenix Rising Hartford Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Phoenix Rising scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Hartford Athletic let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Phoenix Rising has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Phoenix Rising VS Hartford Athletic
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Phoenix Rising

(Home)
19 Jul
Phoenix Rising
3 : 2
Monterey Bay
12 Jul
AV Alta FC
2 : 1
Phoenix Rising
05 Jul
Colorado Springs
3 : 1
Phoenix Rising
21 Jun
Phoenix Rising
3 : 4
Oakland Roots
14 Jun
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 1
Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 6

Hartford Athletic

(Away)
18 Jul
Rhode Island
1 : 0
Hartford Athletic
11 Jul
Hartford Athletic
2 : 1
Westchester SC
08 Jul
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2
Orange County SC
05 Jul
Louisville City
1 : 0
Hartford Athletic
20 Jun
Hartford Athletic
0 : 0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1695225:1332
2Charleston1683531:2227
3Detroit City1583423:1427
4Louisville City1673626:2524
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds1572619:1823
6Indy Eleven1463518:1621
7Miami FC1756620:2621
8Rhode Island1454524:1819
9Hartford Athletic1547412:1419
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1534817:2613
12Loudoun United1519518:2912
13Sporting Jax17151123:448
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1667321:1925
3New Mexico1473419:1524
4Colorado Springs1564526:2222
5FC Tulsa1464418:1622
6Lexington1563624:2021
7Oakland Roots1656524:2421
8Sacramento Republic1455416:1420
9Phoenix Rising1655623:2420
10El Paso Locomotive1554625:2519
11Las Vegas Lights1553723:2618
12Monterey Bay1643916:2515
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)