Sport Picks
Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven
USA
USL Championship Wild Horse Pass Stadium, Chandler, AZ 
Match Events
5'
5'
Badji D.
Assist: Sacko I.
7'
7'
Mar Boye P.
Own Goal
24'
24'
Moursou J.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Phoenix Rising and Indy Eleven finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Phoenix Rising.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Phoenix Rising
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Indy Eleven carry the better recent record into this one.
- Phoenix Rising are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Phoenix Rising Clean Sheet 17%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Phoenix Rising | Indy Eleven |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven
2:1
May 25, 2024 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Phoenix Rising
2:1
Sep 21, 2023 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Indy Eleven
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Phoenix Rising Compare
Top Goalscorer Badji D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Flores D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Indy Eleven Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Phoenix Rising 48 / 100
Indy Eleven 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Phoenix Rising Indy Eleven
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Phoenix Rising Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Phoenix Rising found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Indy Eleven has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.
Phoenix Rising went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Phoenix Rising VS Indy Eleven
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Phoenix Rising
(Home) 20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
13 Sept
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 FC Tulsa
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
30 Aug
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 Indy Eleven
23 Aug
Sacramento Republic
2 : 2 Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
13 Sept
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 FC Tulsa
30 Aug
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 Indy Eleven
20 Aug
Phoenix Rising
3 : 1 Colorado Springs
26 Jul
Phoenix Rising
0 : 0 Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 3
Indy Eleven
(Away) 20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2 Indy Eleven
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2 Birmingham Legion
30 Aug
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2 Indy Eleven
30 Aug
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 Indy Eleven
15 Aug
Sporting Jax
0 : 1 Indy Eleven
01 Aug
San Antonio FC
3 : 1 Indy Eleven
18 Jul
Detroit City
2 : 0 Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 45:23 | 51 |
| 2 | Charleston | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 50:31 | 43 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 29:19 | 40 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 28:26 | 38 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:29 | 33 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 35:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 36:42 | 23 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 27:42 | 20 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:49 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:65 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:31 | 46 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 37:27 | 43 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 40:37 | 38 |
| 4 | Lexington | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29:23 | 37 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 30:20 | 37 |
| 7 | San Antonio FC | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 29:28 | 37 |
| 8 | Orange County SC | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34:40 | 36 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32:35 | 33 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 35:35 | 33 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30:35 | 30 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:43 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
